Central Asia: Grapefruit Market 2024

Grapefruit Market Size in Central Asia

The Central Asian grapefruit market fell remarkably to $X in 2022, with a decrease of -22.1% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +24.7% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X, and then declined notably in the following year.

Grapefruit Production in Central Asia

In value terms, grapefruit production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 18%. Over the period under review, production reached the maximum level at $X in 2020; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

The country with the largest volume of grapefruit production was Uzbekistan (X tons), comprising approx. 100% of total volume.

In Uzbekistan, grapefruit production expanded at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the period from 2012-2022.

In 2022, the average grapefruit yield in Central Asia declined slightly to X tons per ha, approximately mirroring the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the yield increased by 6.7%. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the grapefruit yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the grapefruit harvested area in Central Asia was estimated at X ha, flattening at 2021. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when the harvested area increased by 11%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grapefruit production reached the maximum at X ha in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Grapefruit Exports

Exports in Central Asia

After two years of growth, overseas shipments of grapefruits decreased by -22.1% to X tons in 2022. In general, exports, however, enjoyed buoyant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 1,336% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grapefruit exports fell significantly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, continue to indicate a strong increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 2,073%. The level of export peaked at $X in 2021, and then fell rapidly in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan prevails in exports structure, recording X tons, which was near 91% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Kyrgyzstan (X tons), achieving a 9% share of total exports.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the grapefruits exports, with a CAGR of +15.0% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Kyrgyzstan (+7.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Kyrgyzstan increased by +9 percentage points.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest grapefruit supplier in Central Asia, comprising 93% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 7.3% share of total exports.

In Kazakhstan, grapefruit exports increased at an average annual rate of +7.5% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, which is down by -5.2% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a abrupt decline. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 51%. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kyrgyzstan (+21.9%).

Grapefruit Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, grapefruit imports in Central Asia fell sharply to X tons, shrinking by -41.5% against the year before. Overall, imports, however, saw a resilient increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 209% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons, and then reduced notably in the following year.

In value terms, grapefruit imports fell sharply to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, saw a tangible increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 201%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X, and then dropped notably in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Kazakhstan (X tons) represented the major importer of grapefruits, achieving 56% of total imports. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) took a 20% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Uzbekistan (19%). The following importers - Tajikistan (X tons) and Turkmenistan (X tons) - each reached a 4.1% share of total imports.

Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of imports of grapefruits. At the same time, Uzbekistan (+40.9%), Kyrgyzstan (+31.1%), Tajikistan (+15.4%) and Turkmenistan (+1.6%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uzbekistan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +40.9% from 2012-2022. While the share of Uzbekistan (+19 p.p.) and Kyrgyzstan (+18 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Kazakhstan (-38.2 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported grapefruits in Central Asia, comprising 53% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uzbekistan ($X), with a 24% share of total imports. It was followed by Kyrgyzstan, with an 18% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Kazakhstan stood at -2.9%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Uzbekistan (+48.6% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (+24.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 9.1% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, saw a noticeable shrinkage. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Tajikistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+5.5%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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