Central Asia: Lead Market 2024

Lead Market Size in Central Asia

In 2022, the Central Asian lead market increased by 10% to $X, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. The total consumption indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +10.5% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Lead Production in Central Asia

In value terms, lead production contracted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +2.9% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the production volume increased by 36%. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Lead Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2022, approx. X tons of lead were exported in Central Asia; reducing by -18.1% on the previous year. In general, exports recorded a perceptible downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 53%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, lead exports fell markedly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a abrupt contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by 59% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan dominates exports structure, accounting for X tons, which was approx. 92% of total exports in 2022. The following exporters - Uzbekistan (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) - each accounted for a 7.4% share of total exports.

Exports from Kazakhstan decreased at an average annual rate of -5.6% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Uzbekistan (+20.2%) and Kyrgyzstan (+17.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uzbekistan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +20.2% from 2012-2022. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan increased by +3.8 and +3.2 percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest lead supplier in Central Asia, comprising 92% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 3.7% share of total exports.

In Kazakhstan, lead exports decreased by an average annual rate of -6.2% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kyrgyzstan (+25.3% per year) and Uzbekistan (+25.4% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, falling by -18.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the export price increased by 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton), while Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kyrgyzstan (+6.9%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Lead Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, approx. X tons of lead were imported in Central Asia; which is down by -72.5% on 2021. Overall, imports, however, enjoyed a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 946%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, lead imports dropped notably to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, recorded a pronounced increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when imports increased by 556% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at $X in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan prevails in imports structure, accounting for X tons, which was approx. 81% of total imports in 2022. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) took the second position in the ranking, followed by Uzbekistan (X tons). All these countries together took approx. 14% share of total imports. Tajikistan (X tons) held a minor share of total imports.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the lead imports, with a CAGR of +10.0% from 2012 to 2022. Tajikistan (-1.0%), Kyrgyzstan (-2.4%) and Uzbekistan (-56.0%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan increased by +13 and +6.4 percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported lead in Central Asia, comprising 73% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with an 18% share of total imports. It was followed by Uzbekistan, with a 4.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Kazakhstan stood at +7.6%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Kyrgyzstan (-4.4% per year) and Uzbekistan (-57.5% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, surging by 11% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, showed a pronounced reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the import price increased by 37% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton), while Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (+2.5%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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