Central Asia: Pear Market 2024

Pear Market Size in Central Asia

For the third year in a row, the Central Asian pear market recorded growth in sales value, which increased by 8.8% to $X in 2021. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The level of consumption peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Pear Production in Central Asia

In value terms, pear production rose slightly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, production increased by +77.3% against 2015 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the production volume increased by 26% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production reached the maximum level in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

The country with the largest volume of pear production was Uzbekistan (X tons), accounting for 85% of total volume. Moreover, pear production in Uzbekistan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Kazakhstan (X tons), sevenfold.

In Uzbekistan, pear production increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (+3.8% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (-10.8% per year).

The average pear yield skyrocketed to X tons per ha in 2021, with an increase of 25% compared with the previous year's figure. The yield indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2021: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +7.3% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, pear yield increased by +42.6% against 2019 indices. As a result, the yield attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the harvested area of pears in Central Asia shrank significantly to X ha, reducing by -15% against the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area continues to indicate a noticeable shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 8.8%. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Pear Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, pear exports in Central Asia rose modestly to X tons, surging by 4.3% against the previous year. In general, exports enjoyed significant growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by 3,181% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, pear exports dropped dramatically to $X in 2021. Overall, exports continue to indicate a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 2,735%. The level of export peaked at $X in 2020, and then reduced notably in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kyrgyzstan dominates exports structure, resulting at X tons, which was approx. 92% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Uzbekistan (X tons), mixing up a 6.9% share of total exports.

Kyrgyzstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the pears exports, with a CAGR of +46.6% from 2012 to 2021. Uzbekistan (-28.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Kyrgyzstan (+91 p.p.) and Uzbekistan (+5.9 p.p.) increased significantly, the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Kyrgyzstan ($X) emerged as the largest pear supplier in Central Asia, comprising 78% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uzbekistan ($X), with a 21% share of total exports.

In Kyrgyzstan, pear exports expanded at an average annual rate of +40.4% over the period from 2012-2021.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -23.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a perceptible downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when the export price increased by 1,238% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+19.1%).

Pear Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, pear imports in Central Asia soared to X tons, jumping by 86% on the previous year. Total imports indicated prominent growth from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, pear imports surged to $X in 2021. Total imports indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan dominates imports structure, recording X tons, which was near 89% of total imports in 2021. Uzbekistan (X tons) held a 5.6% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Mongolia (4.6%).

From 2012 to 2021, average annual rates of growth with regard to pear imports into Kazakhstan stood at +4.9%. At the same time, Mongolia (+32.6%) and Uzbekistan (+6.2%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Mongolia emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +32.6% from 2012-2021. From 2012 to 2021, the share of Uzbekistan and Mongolia increased by +5.6 and +3.9 percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported pears in Central Asia, comprising 82% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Uzbekistan ($X), with a 12% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value in Kazakhstan amounted to +4.3%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Uzbekistan (+27.3% per year) and Mongolia (+21.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2021, growing by 2.3% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 an increase of 7.9%. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+19.9%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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