Central Asia: Encased Lead Pencil Market 2024

Encased Lead Pencil Market Size in Central Asia

In 2021, the Central Asian encased lead pencil market was finally on the rise to reach $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year declining trend. In general, consumption posted a resilient expansion. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Encased Lead Pencil Production in Central Asia

In value terms, encased lead pencil production surged to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production saw resilient growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 161%. The level of production peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Encased Lead Pencil Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, approx. X units of pencils and crayons with leads encased in a rigid sheath were exported in Central Asia; with a decrease of -97.1% on the previous year. In general, exports recorded a dramatic decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 1,546%. The volume of export peaked at X units in 2020, and then plummeted in the following year.

In value terms, encased lead pencil exports dropped remarkably to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports saw a deep downturn. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 781% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X, and then declined sharply in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan dominates exports structure, resulting at X units, which was near 88% of total exports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Kyrgyzstan (X units) and Tajikistan (X units), together achieving a 10% share of total exports.

Exports from Kazakhstan decreased at an average annual rate of -22.4% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Tajikistan (+5.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Tajikistan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +5.4% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Kyrgyzstan (-14.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Tajikistan (+4.8 p.p.) and Kyrgyzstan (+2.9 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of Kazakhstan (-7.8 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest encased lead pencil supplier in Central Asia, comprising 78% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 14% share of total exports.

In Kazakhstan, encased lead pencil exports plunged by an average annual rate of -16.7% over the period from 2012-2021. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kyrgyzstan (-10.2% per year) and Tajikistan (+18.6% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Central Asia stood at $X per unit in 2021, growing by 24% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed strong growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the export price increased by 83%. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs at $X per unit in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2021, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was Kyrgyzstan ($X per unit), while Kazakhstan ($X per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (+12.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Encased Lead Pencil Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, approx. X units of pencils and crayons with leads encased in a rigid sheath were imported in Central Asia; increasing by 35% compared with the year before. Overall, imports recorded a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 140% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X units in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, encased lead pencil imports rose sharply to $X in 2021. In general, imports posted a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of 98% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Uzbekistan (X units) represented the main importer of pencils and crayons with leads encased in a rigid sheath, generating 62% of total imports. Kazakhstan (X units) held the second position in the ranking, distantly followed by Kyrgyzstan (X units). All these countries together took approx. 34% share of total imports. Tajikistan (X units) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Imports into Uzbekistan increased at an average annual rate of +25.3% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Tajikistan (+83.3%), Kyrgyzstan (+10.8%) and Kazakhstan (+4.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Tajikistan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +83.3% from 2012-2021. While the share of Uzbekistan (+62 p.p.) and Tajikistan (+2.2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2021, the share of Kyrgyzstan (-5.4 p.p.) and Kazakhstan (-57.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported pencils and crayons with leads encased in a rigid sheath in Central Asia, comprising 63% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uzbekistan ($X), with a 21% share of total imports. It was followed by Tajikistan, with a 7.8% share.

In Kazakhstan, encased lead pencil imports expanded at an average annual rate of +8.4% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Uzbekistan (+11.6% per year) and Tajikistan (+74.6% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2021, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per unit, dropping by -21.6% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw a abrupt downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 an increase of 33%. The level of import peaked at $X per unit in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Tajikistan ($X per unit), while Uzbekistan ($X per unit) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (+3.6%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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