Central Asia: Plum And Sloe Market 2024

Plum And Sloe Market Size in Central Asia

In 2022, the Central Asian plum and sloe market decreased by -21.4% to $X for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Overall, consumption showed a pronounced contraction. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Plum And Sloe Production in Central Asia

In value terms, plum and sloe production shrank to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production continues to indicate a perceptible contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 38% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Uzbekistan (X tons) remains the largest plum and sloe producing country in Central Asia, comprising approx. 69% of total volume. Moreover, plum and sloe production in Uzbekistan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Turkmenistan (X tons), fourfold. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 6.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Uzbekistan amounted to +3.9%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Turkmenistan (+0.1% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (+0.3% per year).

In 2022, the average yield of plums and sloes in Central Asia reduced slightly to X tons per ha, with a decrease of -2.3% against the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 6.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the plum and sloe yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2021, and then declined in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of plums and sloes production in Central Asia fell modestly to X ha, remaining stable against the year before. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the harvested area increased by 10%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to plum and sloe production reached the maximum at X ha in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Plum And Sloe Exports

Exports in Central Asia

After two years of decline, overseas shipments of plums and sloes increased by 370% to X tons in 2022. In general, exports saw significant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 896% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, plum and sloe exports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports posted a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 1,105% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Uzbekistan prevails in exports structure, accounting for X tons, which was near 97% of total exports in 2022. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Uzbekistan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the plums and sloes exports, with a CAGR of +9.7% from 2012 to 2022. Kyrgyzstan (-14.8%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Uzbekistan increased by +97 percentage points.

In value terms, Uzbekistan ($X) remains the largest plum and sloe supplier in Central Asia, comprising 97% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 1.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Uzbekistan totaled +10.3%.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, shrinking by -49.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 80% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2021, and then declined rapidly in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uzbekistan (+0.6%).

Plum And Sloe Imports

Imports in Central Asia

After two years of decline, overseas purchases of plums and sloes increased by 27% to X tons in 2022. Overall, imports, however, continue to indicate a deep setback. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 131% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, plum and sloe imports contracted to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, recorded a abrupt slump. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when imports increased by 87%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Kazakhstan was the main importer of plums and sloes in Central Asia, with the volume of imports resulting at X tons, which was approx. 77% of total imports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Kyrgyzstan (X tons), creating a 21% share of total imports.

Imports into Kazakhstan decreased at an average annual rate of -13.3% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Kyrgyzstan (+22.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kyrgyzstan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +22.9% from 2012-2022. While the share of Kyrgyzstan (+21 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Kazakhstan (-22.5 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported plums and sloes in Central Asia, comprising 81% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 16% share of total imports.

In Kazakhstan, plum and sloe imports decreased by an average annual rate of -13.7% over the period from 2012-2022.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, waning by -29.4% against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a mild slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of 84%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton, and then contracted notably in the following year.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (-0.5%).

Source: IndexBox Platform

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