Central Asia: Rye Market 2025

Rye Market Size in Central Asia

In 2022, the Central Asian rye market decreased by -38.5% to $X, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Overall, consumption continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Rye Production in Central Asia

In value terms, rye production soared to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, saw a strong expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 171%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Kazakhstan (X tons) constituted the country with the largest volume of rye production, accounting for 86% of total volume. Moreover, rye production in Kazakhstan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Uzbekistan (X tons), eightfold.

In Kazakhstan, rye production expanded at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Uzbekistan (-2.8% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (+24.8% per year).

In 2022, the average rye yield in Central Asia skyrocketed to X tons per ha, increasing by 16% on the year before. Overall, the yield recorded a mild increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 27% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the rye yield reached the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of rye production in Central Asia reduced markedly to X ha, waning by -22.1% compared with the previous year's figure. In general, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the harvested area increased by 79%. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Rye Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2022, overseas shipments of rye increased by 2,689% to X tons, rising for the third year in a row after four years of decline. In general, exports posted significant growth. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, rye exports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate significant growth. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan (X tons) represented roughly 100% of total exports in 2022.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the rye exports, with a CAGR of +42.0% from 2012 to 2022. The shares of the largest exporters remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) also remains the largest rye supplier in Central Asia.

In Kazakhstan, rye exports increased at an average annual rate of +46.0% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -30.3% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw temperate growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 an increase of 69% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2021, and then contracted sharply in the following year.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Kazakhstan amounted to +2.8% per year.

Rye Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas purchases of rye, when their volume decreased by -42% to X tons. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 411% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2021, and then shrank markedly in the following year.

In value terms, rye imports fell remarkably to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, recorded a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when imports increased by 545% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X in 2021, and then fell notably in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Kazakhstan (X tons), Mongolia (X tons) and Uzbekistan (X tons) was the key importer of rye in Central Asia, mixing up 99.9% of total import.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of +77.6%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X), Mongolia ($X) and Uzbekistan ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 99.9% share of total imports.

Uzbekistan, with a CAGR of +73.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, rising by 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, recorded a slight descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the import price increased by 26% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Mongolia ($X per ton), while Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (-1.1%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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