Central Asia: Uncooked Pasta Market 2024

Uncooked Pasta Market Size in Central Asia

In 2021, the Central Asian uncooked pasta market decreased by -11.9% to $X for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, consumption recorded a mild setback. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Uncooked Pasta Production in Central Asia

In value terms, uncooked pasta production shrank to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production recorded a noticeable slump. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 35%. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Uncooked Pasta Exports

Exports in Central Asia

In 2021, overseas shipments of uncooked pasta decreased by -28.6% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after four years of growth. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a resilient increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 78% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta exports dropped to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw resilient growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 79% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X in 2020, and then reduced in the following year.

Exports by Country

Kazakhstan dominates exports structure, accounting for X tons, which was approx. 97% of total exports in 2021. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) held a relatively small share of total exports.

Kazakhstan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the uncooked pasta exports, with a CAGR of +7.1% from 2012 to 2021. Kyrgyzstan (-9.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Kazakhstan (+8 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2021, the share of Kyrgyzstan (-8.3 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) remains the largest uncooked pasta supplier in Central Asia, comprising 97% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 1.9% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Kazakhstan totaled +6.5%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in Central Asia amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 29% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (-0.5%).

Uncooked Pasta Imports

Imports in Central Asia

In 2021, overseas purchases of uncooked pasta decreased by -26.4% to X tons, falling for the second year in a row after three years of growth. Over the period under review, imports, however, posted a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 52%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta imports fell significantly to $X in 2021. In general, imports, however, posted resilient growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when imports increased by 50%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Kazakhstan (X tons) was the key importer of uncooked pasta, committing 39% of total imports. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 19% share, followed by Uzbekistan (17%), Mongolia (15%) and Turkmenistan (7.7%). Tajikistan (X tons) took a little share of total imports.

Imports into Kazakhstan increased at an average annual rate of +9.5% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Uzbekistan (+33.5%), Mongolia (+14.9%) and Kyrgyzstan (+14.3%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Uzbekistan emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Central Asia, with a CAGR of +33.5% from 2012-2021. By contrast, Turkmenistan (-10.3%) and Tajikistan (-15.0%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Uzbekistan (+17 p.p.), Kazakhstan (+9.2 p.p.), Kyrgyzstan (+9.2 p.p.) and Mongolia (+7.6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2021, the share of Tajikistan (-15.8 p.p.) and Turkmenistan (-27.4 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Kazakhstan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported uncooked pasta in Central Asia, comprising 43% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Uzbekistan ($X), with an 18% share of total imports. It was followed by Mongolia, with a 16% share.

In Kazakhstan, uncooked pasta imports increased at an average annual rate of +8.5% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Uzbekistan (+36.7% per year) and Mongolia (+12.1% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Central Asia stood at $X per ton in 2021, rising by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the import price increased by 14%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2021, the import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Tajikistan ($X per ton), while Turkmenistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (+6.5%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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