China: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in China

The Chinese flaked or rolled cereal market expanded rapidly to $X in 2022, growing by 7.8% against the previous year. Overall, the total consumption indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -4.4% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in China

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +8.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -6.3% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the production volume increased by 34%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports from China

In 2022, approx. X tons of flaked or rolled cereals were exported from China; approximately reflecting 2021. In general, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by 12% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports expanded sharply to $X in 2022. Overall, total exports indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +72.7% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 41%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Japan (X tons) was the main destination for flaked or rolled cereal exports from China, with a 71% share of total exports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal exports to Japan exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, the Netherlands (X tons), eightfold. The third position in this ranking was held by Australia (X tons), with a 3.2% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Japan was relatively modest. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (-2.7% per year) and Australia (+6.1% per year).

In value terms, Japan ($X) remains the key foreign market for flaked or rolled cereals exports from China, comprising 66% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the Netherlands ($X), with a 10% share of total exports. It was followed by Australia, with a 3.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Japan stood at +6.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (+4.6% per year) and Australia (+13.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average flaked or rolled cereal export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 7.4% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a strong expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +6.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, flaked or rolled cereal export price increased by +93.7% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the average export price increased by 36% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major foreign markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Japan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to the United States (+7.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports into China

After two years of decline, supplies from abroad of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 162% to X tons in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a significant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 273% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, imports posted significant growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 223% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Australia (X tons) constituted the largest flaked or rolled cereal supplier to China, accounting for a 12% share of total imports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal imports from Australia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Myanmar (X tons), fourfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Australia stood at +70.4%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Myanmar (+136.0% per year) and Canada (+82.5% per year).

In value terms, Australia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of flaked or rolled cereals to China, comprising 7.7% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($X), with a 2.4% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Australia stood at +53.2%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Canada (+103.0% per year) and Myanmar (+57.6% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average flaked or rolled cereal import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by 3.7% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.6%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 an increase of 50%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while the price for Myanmar ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Canada (+11.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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