China: Green Coffee Market 2024

Green Coffee Market Size in China

The Chinese green coffee market surged to $X in 2022, increasing by 22% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, saw a remarkable increase. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Green Coffee Production in China

In value terms, green coffee production rose modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a noticeable curtailment. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 21%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

In 2022, the average green coffee yield in China reduced slightly to X tons per ha, flattening at 2021. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 10%. The green coffee yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2021, and then shrank in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the green coffee harvested area in China rose slightly to X ha, with an increase of 4.2% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the harvested area increased by 31% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2014 to 2022, the growth of the green coffee harvested area remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Green Coffee Exports

Exports from China

In 2022, shipments abroad of coffee (green) was finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year declining trend. In general, exports, however, saw a pronounced contraction. The exports peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, green coffee exports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Germany (X tons), the Netherlands (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main destinations of green coffee exports from China, together comprising 44% of total exports. The United States, Belgium, South Korea, Sweden, the UK, Italy, Thailand, Australia, Malaysia and Vietnam lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 39%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Thailand (with a CAGR of +108.8%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($X) remains the key foreign market for coffee (green) exports from China, comprising 24% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the Netherlands ($X), with an 11% share of total exports. It was followed by Russia, with a 9.5% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Germany stood at -6.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the Netherlands (+76.3% per year) and Russia (+23.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average green coffee export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 32% against the previous year. In general, export price indicated a tangible increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, green coffee export price increased by +137.5% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 41%. The export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Malaysia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Thailand (+6.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Green Coffee Imports

Imports into China

In 2022, supplies from abroad of coffee (green) increased by 2% to X tons, rising for the sixth year in a row after two years of decline. In general, imports recorded a buoyant expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 87%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, green coffee imports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 119%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

Ethiopia (X tons), Vietnam (X tons) and Brazil (X tons) were the main suppliers of green coffee imports to China, with a combined 67% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Ethiopia (with a CAGR of +49.2%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Ethiopia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of coffee (green) to China, comprising 37% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Colombia ($X), with a 16% share of total imports. It was followed by Brazil, with a 15% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Ethiopia totaled +53.0%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Colombia (+34.3% per year) and Brazil (+29.2% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average green coffee import price amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 43% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import price indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +6.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, green coffee import price increased by +78.0% against 2019 indices. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Colombia ($X per ton), while the price for Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Indonesia (+4.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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