CIS: Almond Market 2025

Almond Market Size in CIS

The CIS almond market was estimated at $X in 2021, with an increase of 10% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +5.4% from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Almond Production in CIS

In value terms, almond production surged to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, recorded strong growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 177% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2021, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Uzbekistan (X tons) remains the largest almond producing country in the CIS, accounting for 75% of total volume. Moreover, almond production in Uzbekistan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Tajikistan (X tons), sevenfold. Kyrgyzstan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a 6.2% share.

In Uzbekistan, almond production increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Tajikistan (-0.8% per year) and Kyrgyzstan (+0.4% per year).

In 2021, the average yield of almonds in the CIS reduced modestly to X tons per ha, stabilizing at the previous year. The yield indicated a strong increase from 2012 to 2021: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +6.6% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, almond yield increased by +77.1% against 2012 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 16%. Over the period under review, the almond yield attained the peak level at X tons per ha in 2020, and then shrank in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2021, the almond harvested area in the CIS reduced slightly to X ha, approximately equating the previous year's figure. Overall, the harvested area recorded a perceptible reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the harvested area increased by 7.9% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of the almond harvested area remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Almond Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2021, approx. X tons of almonds were exported in the CIS; growing by 21% on the year before. Overall, exports recorded a significant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 530%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, almond exports dropped to $X in 2021. In general, exports continue to indicate a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 892%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

In 2021, Uzbekistan (X tons) represented the key exporter of almonds, achieving 66% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Moldova (X tons), comprising a 27% share of total exports. Azerbaijan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Exports from Uzbekistan increased at an average annual rate of +32.4% from 2012 to 2021. At the same time, Azerbaijan (+155.8%) and Moldova (+39.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Azerbaijan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the CIS, with a CAGR of +155.8% from 2012-2021. From 2012 to 2021, the share of Uzbekistan, Moldova and Azerbaijan increased by +66, +16 and +3.5 percentage points, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Uzbekistan ($X) remains the largest almond supplier in the CIS, comprising 86% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Moldova ($X), with a 9.1% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Uzbekistan stood at +33.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Moldova (+36.4% per year) and Azerbaijan (+206.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the export price in the CIS amounted to $X per ton, shrinking by -23.3% against the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a mild descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the export price increased by 57% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2020, and then declined remarkably in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was Uzbekistan ($X per ton), while Moldova ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Azerbaijan (+19.7%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Almond Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2021, purchases abroad of almonds increased by 34% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, imports, however, faced a abrupt curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 with an increase of 43%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, almond imports surged to $X in 2021. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a drastic downturn. The level of import peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Tajikistan (X tons), Kazakhstan (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) represented roughly 88% of total imports in 2021. It was distantly followed by Azerbaijan (X tons), comprising a 6.4% share of total imports. Armenia (X tons) and Russia (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were in Armenia (with a CAGR of +43.2%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Tajikistan ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported almonds in the CIS, comprising 46% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 23% share of total imports. It was followed by Azerbaijan, with a 13% share.

In Tajikistan, almond imports increased at an average annual rate of +30.6% over the period from 2012-2021. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (+23.1% per year) and Azerbaijan (+8.1% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2021, jumping by 21% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, continues to indicate a noticeable downturn. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably country of destination: the country with the highest price was Azerbaijan ($X per ton), while Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Azerbaijan (+29.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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