CIS: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in CIS

The CIS grain market skyrocketed to $X in 2022, jumping by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Grain Production in CIS

In value terms, grain production totaled $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Russia (X tons) remains the largest grain producing country in the CIS, accounting for X% of total volume. Moreover, grain production in Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Kazakhstan (X tons), sevenfold. Belarus (X tons) ranked third in terms of total production with a X% share.

In Russia, grain production increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Kazakhstan (X% per year) and Belarus (X% per year).

The average grain yield rose slightly to X tons per ha in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the grain yield attained the maximum level at X tons per ha in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of cereal grains were harvested in the CIS; leveling off at the previous year's figure. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Grain Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2022, exports of cereal grains in the CIS reduced remarkably to X tons, falling by X% compared with 2021 figures. In general, exports continue to indicate a noticeable descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports dropped markedly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the key exporter of cereal grains, constituting X% of total exports. Kazakhstan (X tons) took a X% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Moldova (X%).

Exports from Russia decreased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Moldova (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Moldova emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the CIS, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Moldova and Kazakhstan increased by X and X percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the largest grain supplier in the CIS, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with a X% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Russia stood at X%. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kazakhstan (X% per year) and Moldova (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated a perceptible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of X%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Russia ($X per ton), while Moldova ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (X%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Grain Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2022, supplies from abroad of cereal grains increased by X% to X tons, rising for the eighth consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, imports saw a prominent expansion. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, grain imports soared to $X in 2022. Overall, imports saw strong growth. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Belarus (X tons) and Uzbekistan (X tons) represented roughly X% of total imports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Kazakhstan (X tons), Azerbaijan (X tons) and Tajikistan (X tons), together comprising a X% share of total imports. The following importers - Armenia (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) - together made up X% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belarus ($X), Uzbekistan ($X) and Azerbaijan ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together accounting for X% of total imports.

Uzbekistan, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, among the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by X% against the previous year. In general, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by X%. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Azerbaijan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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