CIS: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in CIS

The CIS grain market soared to $X in 2022, rising by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, the market reached the peak level in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Grain Production in CIS

In value terms, grain production rose to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Russia (X tons) remains the largest grain producing country in the CIS, accounting for X% of total volume. Moreover, grain production in Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Kazakhstan (X tons), sevenfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Belarus (X tons), with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in Russia stood at X%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Kazakhstan (X% per year) and Belarus (X% per year).

The average grain yield totaled X tons per ha in 2022, with an increase of X% compared with the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the yield increased by X%. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The grain harvested area reached X ha in 2022, approximately reflecting 2021. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Grain Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2022, exports of grain in the CIS contracted significantly to X tons, dropping by X% against the year before. Overall, exports showed a perceptible reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of X%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports shrank remarkably to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Russia was the largest exporting country with an export of around X tons, which accounted for X% of total exports. It was distantly followed by Kazakhstan (X tons) and Moldova (X tons), together mixing up a X% share of total exports.

Exports from Russia decreased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Moldova (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Moldova emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the CIS, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. Kazakhstan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Moldova and Kazakhstan increased by X and X percentage points, respectively.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the largest grain supplier in the CIS, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kazakhstan ($X), with a X% share of total exports.

In Russia, grain exports declined by an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Kazakhstan (X% per year) and Moldova (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated measured growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2016 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the export price increased by X% against the previous year. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Russia ($X per ton), while Moldova ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (X%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Grain Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2022, supplies from abroad of grain increased by X% to X tons, rising for the eighth year in a row after two years of decline. Overall, imports enjoyed prominent growth. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, grain imports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports enjoyed a buoyant increase. As a result, imports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Belarus (X tons) and Uzbekistan (X tons) were the major importers of grain in 2022, amounting to approx. X% and X% of total imports, respectively. Kazakhstan (X tons) held the next position in the ranking, followed by Azerbaijan (X tons) and Tajikistan (X tons). All these countries together held near X% share of total imports. The following importers - Armenia (X tons) and Kyrgyzstan (X tons) - together made up X% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest grain importing markets in the CIS were Belarus ($X), Uzbekistan ($X) and Azerbaijan ($X), with a combined X% share of total imports.

Among the main importing countries, Uzbekistan, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in the CIS amounted to $X per ton, growing by X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Azerbaijan ($X per ton), while Kazakhstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Tajikistan (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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