CIS: Rye Market 2025

Rye Market Size in CIS

The CIS rye market was estimated at $X in 2022, rising by 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption, however, saw a pronounced contraction. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Rye Production in CIS

In value terms, rye production totaled $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a noticeable contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 63% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The country with the largest volume of rye production was Russia (X tons), accounting for 67% of total volume. Moreover, rye production in Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Belarus (X tons), twofold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Russia was relatively modest.

The average rye yield skyrocketed to X tons per ha in 2022, increasing by 18% on the previous year. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the yield increased by 34% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the rye yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the harvested area of rye in the CIS dropped slightly to X ha, with a decrease of -1.6% on 2021. Overall, the harvested area recorded a noticeable decline. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the harvested area increased by 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to rye production reached the maximum at X ha in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Rye Exports

Exports in CIS

In 2022, the amount of rye exported in the CIS fell markedly to X tons, which is down by -23.3% on 2021 figures. Overall, exports continue to indicate a abrupt descent. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 326% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, rye exports dropped rapidly to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a abrupt descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 385%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Russia was the largest exporter of rye in the CIS, with the volume of exports resulting at X tons, which was approx. 60% of total exports in 2022. Belarus (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a 22% share, followed by Kazakhstan (17%).

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to rye exports from Russia stood at -14.0%. At the same time, Kazakhstan (+42.0%) and Belarus (+8.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Kazakhstan emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the CIS, with a CAGR of +42.0% from 2012-2022. Belarus (+18 p.p.) and Kazakhstan (+16 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while Russia saw its share reduced by -36.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the largest rye supplier in the CIS, comprising 57% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 25% share of total exports.

In Russia, rye exports shrank by an average annual rate of -15.5% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Kazakhstan (+46.0% per year) and Belarus (+4.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 7.7% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, saw a mild slump. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the export price increased by 30%. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kazakhstan ($X per ton), while Belarus ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Kazakhstan (+2.8%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Rye Imports

Imports in CIS

In 2022, purchases abroad of rye decreased by -34.6% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. In general, imports, however, showed buoyant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 176%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, rye imports dropped rapidly to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, posted a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 222%. The level of import peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Belarus (X tons) and Kazakhstan (X tons) were the key importers of rye in 2022, reaching approx. 42% and 36% of total imports, respectively. It was distantly followed by Uzbekistan (X tons), comprising a 21% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Uzbekistan (with a CAGR of +77.6%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Belarus ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported rye in the CIS, comprising 85% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kazakhstan ($X), with a 10% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Belarus amounted to +57.8%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Kazakhstan (+15.8% per year) and Uzbekistan (+73.9% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in the CIS stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by 20% against the previous year. In general, the import price enjoyed a resilient increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the import price increased by 218% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Belarus ($X per ton), while Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Belarus (+8.8%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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