Eastern Asia: Durum Wheat Market 2025

Durum Wheat Market Size in Eastern Asia

The East Asian durum wheat market fell to $X in 2022, reducing by -6.3% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -10.9% against 2019 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Production in Eastern Asia

In value terms, durum wheat production reduced to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a noticeable expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 with an increase of 89%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, production growth remained at a lower figure.

China (X tons) remains the largest durum wheat producing country in Eastern Asia, accounting for 99% of total volume.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume in China amounted to +1.1%.

The average durum wheat yield reduced slightly to X tons per ha in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 4%. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2021, and then declined modestly in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of durum wheat production in Eastern Asia shrank to X ha, almost unchanged from the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the harvested area increased by 2.2% against the previous year. The level of harvested area peaked at X ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Exports

Exports in Eastern Asia

In 2022, shipments abroad of durum wheat decreased by -31.2% to X tons, falling for the fourth year in a row after two years of growth. Over the period under review, exports faced a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 197%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, durum wheat exports contracted sharply to $X in 2022. In general, exports faced a abrupt shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 207%. The level of export peaked at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Japan (X tons) was the key exporter of durum wheat, achieving 68% of total exports. It was distantly followed by China (X tons), comprising a 32% share of total exports.

Japan was also the fastest-growing in terms of the durum wheat exports, with a CAGR of +14.4% from 2012 to 2022. China experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. Japan (+65 p.p.) and China (+28 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while the shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Japan ($X) and China ($X) were the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2022.

Among the main exporting countries, Japan, with a CAGR of +31.0%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Eastern Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by 12% against the previous year. Export price indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, durum wheat export price increased by +81.5% against 2018 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the export price increased by 52%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while Japan totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Japan (+14.4%).

Durum Wheat Imports

Imports in Eastern Asia

In 2022, purchases abroad of durum wheat decreased by -37.7% to X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year rising trend. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a resilient expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 141% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2021, and then fell rapidly in the following year.

In value terms, durum wheat imports plummeted to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, showed a strong increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 116%. The level of import peaked at $X in 2021, and then contracted remarkably in the following year.

Imports by Country

China represented the largest importing country with an import of about X tons, which amounted to 67% of total imports. Taiwan (Chinese) (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 28% share, followed by Japan (5.3%).

Imports into China increased at an average annual rate of +10.0% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Taiwan (Chinese) (+41.9%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Taiwan (Chinese) emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Eastern Asia, with a CAGR of +41.9% from 2012-2022. Japan experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Taiwan (Chinese) increased by +25 percentage points.

In value terms, China ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported durum wheat in Eastern Asia, comprising 68% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Taiwan (Chinese) ($X), with a 23% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in China amounted to +11.5%. The remaining importing countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Taiwan (Chinese) (+44.0% per year) and Japan (+3.5% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Eastern Asia stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by 28% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, import price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Japan ($X per ton), while Taiwan (Chinese) ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Japan (+3.1%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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