Eastern Europe: Aluminium Market 2025

Aluminium Market Size in Eastern Europe

The East European aluminium market amounted to $X in 2022, growing by 14% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market reached the peak level at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Aluminium Production in Eastern Europe

In value terms, aluminium production shrank slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production showed a mild reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 34% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Aluminium Exports

Exports in Eastern Europe

Aluminium exports reduced to X tons in 2022, waning by -8% on the year before. In general, exports, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by 72%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, aluminium exports reduced markedly to $X in 2022. Overall, exports showed a slight curtailment. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by 78%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Russia dominates exports structure, amounting to X tons, which was near 98% of total exports in 2022. Poland (X tons) took a minor share of total exports.

Russia experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of aluminum (unwrought, not alloyed). At the same time, Poland (+34.8%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Poland emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in Eastern Europe, with a CAGR of +34.8% from 2012-2022. While the share of Poland (+1.6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Russia (-1.7 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the largest aluminium supplier in Eastern Europe, comprising 96% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Poland ($X), with a 2.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Russia amounted to -1.7%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Eastern Europe amounted to $X per ton, waning by -9.1% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a slight slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the export price increased by 28%. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Poland ($X per ton), while Russia amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Poland (+0.1%).

Aluminium Imports

Imports in Eastern Europe

In 2022, approx. X tons of aluminum (unwrought, not alloyed) were imported in Eastern Europe; growing by 4.9% on the previous year's figure. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 23% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, aluminium imports surged to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +121.1% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 77%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Poland (X tons), distantly followed by Hungary (X tons), Romania (X tons), Bulgaria (X tons) and the Czech Republic (X tons) were the main importers of aluminum (unwrought, not alloyed), together generating 93% of total imports. The following importers - Belarus (X tons) and Russia (X tons) - each recorded a 5.8% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Romania (with a CAGR of +41.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Poland ($X), Hungary ($X) and Romania ($X) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 73% share of total imports.

Among the main importing countries, Romania, with a CAGR of +45.7%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in Eastern Europe amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of 19% against the previous year. Import price indicated a temperate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, aluminium import price increased by +71.3% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by 44%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Belarus ($X per ton), while Russia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Belarus (+5.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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