Eastern Europe: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Eastern Europe

The East European flaked or rolled cereal market expanded sharply to $X in 2022, rising by 5.1% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated tangible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -5.2% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Eastern Europe

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -7.6% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the production volume increased by 26%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports in Eastern Europe

In 2022, shipments abroad of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 13% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after two years of decline. Total exports indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +25.8% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 50% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports expanded remarkably to $X in 2022. In general, exports enjoyed a buoyant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 24%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Russia (X tons), the Czech Republic (X tons), Estonia (X tons), Poland (X tons), Latvia (X tons), Lithuania (X tons) and Ukraine (X tons) represented roughly 92% of total exports in 2022.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Latvia (with a CAGR of +24.2%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the largest flaked or rolled cereal supplier in Eastern Europe, comprising 28% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Lithuania ($X), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Latvia, with a 13% share.

In Russia, flaked or rolled cereal exports expanded at an average annual rate of +8.2% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Lithuania (+21.2% per year) and Latvia (+23.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in Eastern Europe amounted to $X per ton, approximately reflecting the previous year. Export price indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, flaked or rolled cereal export price increased by +74.3% against 2018 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the export price increased by 31%. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Lithuania ($X per ton), while the Czech Republic ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Czech Republic (+8.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports in Eastern Europe

In 2022, purchases abroad of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 9.1% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 33% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports soared to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated buoyant growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +123.0% against 2015 indices. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Poland (X tons), distantly followed by Latvia (X tons), the Czech Republic (X tons), Belarus (X tons), Ukraine (X tons), Romania (X tons), Lithuania (X tons) and Estonia (X tons) were the major importers of flaked or rolled cereals, together achieving 83% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to flaked or rolled cereal imports into Poland stood at +7.1%. At the same time, Romania (+17.6%), Latvia (+12.1%), Lithuania (+12.1%), Estonia (+7.2%) and Ukraine (+4.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Romania emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in Eastern Europe, with a CAGR of +17.6% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Belarus (-3.5%) and the Czech Republic (-4.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Poland, Latvia, Romania, Lithuania and Estonia increased by +7.8, +5.7, +5.4, +3.9 and +1.8 percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Poland ($X), Ukraine ($X) and Romania ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined 45% share of total imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, Romania, with a CAGR of +24.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Eastern Europe stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by 20% against the previous year. Import price indicated a measured expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, flaked or rolled cereal import price increased by +84.9% against 2017 indices. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Romania ($X per ton), while Latvia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Belarus (+8.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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