Ethiopia: Mustard Seed Market 2025

Mustard Seed Market Size in Ethiopia

The Ethiopian mustard seed market dropped to $X in 2022, with a decrease of -5.6% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Mustard Seed Production in Ethiopia

In value terms, mustard seed production dropped to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +14.2% against 2020 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by 51% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the maximum level at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of mustard seed in Ethiopia totaled X kg per ha in 2022, approximately mirroring the previous year. Overall, the yield, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the average mustard seed yield attained the peak level at X kg per ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of mustard seed were harvested in Ethiopia; standing approx. at the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 4.3% against the previous year. The mustard seed harvested area peaked at X ha in 2021, and then fell modestly in the following year.

Mustard Seed Exports

Exports from Ethiopia

In 2022, the amount of mustard seed exported from Ethiopia skyrocketed to X tons, rising by 24% compared with the previous year. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 200%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, mustard seed exports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, faced a abrupt setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of 229% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

The United States (X tons), Sudan (X kg) and Israel (X kg) were the main destinations of mustard seed exports from Ethiopia, with a combined 88% share of total exports. Canada, the Netherlands, South Africa and the UK lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 10%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Canada (with a CAGR of +48.5%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the key foreign market for mustard seed exports from Ethiopia, comprising 73% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Sudan ($X), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by Israel, with a 4.1% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to the United States amounted to +19.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Sudan (-8.5% per year) and Israel (-6.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average mustard seed export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by 8.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the average export price increased by 33% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to the Netherlands ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Israel (+3.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Mustard Seed Imports

Imports into Ethiopia

In 2022, overseas purchases of mustard seed decreased by -22% to X tons for the first time since 2017, thus ending a four-year rising trend. In general, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when imports increased by 234%. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at X tons in 2021, and then declined remarkably in the following year.

In value terms, mustard seed imports declined rapidly to $X in 2022. Overall, imports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when imports increased by 205% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at $X in 2021, and then contracted sharply in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United Arab Emirates (X tons) was the main mustard seed supplier to Ethiopia, accounting for a 98% share of total imports. It was followed by China (X kg), with a 2.2% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from the United Arab Emirates stood at +16.3%.

In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X) constituted the largest supplier of mustard seed to Ethiopia, comprising 95% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($X), with a 4.9% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from the United Arab Emirates stood at +27.5%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average mustard seed import price amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 4.2% against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 97%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2018 to 2022, the average import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while the price for the United Arab Emirates stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (+9.7%).

Source: IndexBox Platform