Ethiopia: Paddy Rice Market 2025

Paddy Rice Market Size in Ethiopia

The Ethiopian paddy rice market expanded notably to $X in 2022, picking up by 6.8% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, posted buoyant growth. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Paddy Rice Production in Ethiopia

In value terms, paddy rice production expanded rapidly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed significant growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 149%. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of paddy rice in Ethiopia dropped slightly to X tons per ha in 2022, which is down by -4.6% compared with the year before. In general, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the yield increased by 9.9%. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha, and then declined in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the harvested area of paddy rice in Ethiopia rose modestly to X ha, surging by 2.1% against the previous year's figure. Overall, the total harvested area indicated a notable increase from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +3.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, paddy rice harvested area decreased by -3.3% against 2018 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when the harvested area increased by 38%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to paddy rice production reached the maximum at X ha in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Paddy Rice Exports

Exports from Ethiopia

Paddy rice exports from Ethiopia stood at X kg in 2022, remaining constant against the previous year. In general, exports saw a sharp decline. The smallest decline of 99.9% was in 2021. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, paddy rice exports amounted to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports recorded a sharp descent. The smallest decline of 99.9% was in 2021. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Norway (X kg) was the main destination for paddy rice exports from Ethiopia, with a 98% share of total exports. It was followed by China (X kg), with a 1.6% share of total exports.

From 2014 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Norway was relatively modest.

From 2014 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Norway was relatively modest.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average paddy rice export price amounted to $X per ton, almost unchanged from the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price enjoyed a significant increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 a decrease of 99.9% against the previous year. The export price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Norway totaled $X per ton.

From 2014 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China (+106.1%).

Paddy Rice Imports

Imports into Ethiopia

In 2022, approx. X tons of paddy rice were imported into Ethiopia; jumping by 50% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports enjoyed a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 3,217% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, paddy rice imports soared to $X in 2022. Overall, imports saw a buoyant increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 4,472%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Brazil (X tons), the United States (X tons) and Pakistan (X tons) were the main suppliers of paddy rice imports to Ethiopia, together accounting for 94% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Brazil (with a CAGR of +54.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest paddy rice suppliers to Ethiopia were Brazil ($X), the United States ($X) and Pakistan ($X), with a combined 93% share of total imports.

Brazil, with a CAGR of +67.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main suppliers over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average paddy rice import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, almost unchanged from the previous year. In general, the import price, however, showed a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 an increase of 49% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2021, and then dropped in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was India ($X per ton), while the price for Thailand ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+19.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform