EU: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in the EU

The EU flaked or rolled cereal market was estimated at $X in 2022, growing by 12% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated a resilient expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -7.2% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in the EU

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production rose significantly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -0.2% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 25% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports in the EU

In 2022, overseas shipments of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 4% to X tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.4% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 22% against the previous year. The volume of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports stood at $X in 2022. Total exports indicated buoyant growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +90.9% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 17%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Germany (X tons), distantly followed by Belgium (X tons), the Czech Republic (X tons), Denmark (X tons), Estonia (X tons), Poland (X tons), Latvia (X tons), the Netherlands (X tons) and Italy (X tons) were the major exporters of flaked or rolled cereals, together mixing up 78% of total exports. Ireland (X tons), Lithuania (X tons), Spain (X tons) and Finland (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Latvia (with a CAGR of +24.2%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Germany ($X) remains the largest flaked or rolled cereal supplier in the European Union, comprising 25% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Belgium ($X), with a 9.5% share of total exports. It was followed by Lithuania, with a 6.6% share.

In Germany, flaked or rolled cereal exports increased at an average annual rate of +4.8% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Belgium (+5.2% per year) and Lithuania (+21.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in the European Union stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of 3.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the export price increased by 9.4% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Lithuania ($X per ton), while the Czech Republic ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Czech Republic (+8.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports in the EU

In 2022, after two years of decline, there was significant growth in supplies from abroad of flaked or rolled cereals, when their volume increased by 6.7% to X tons. Total imports indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 13% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports expanded rapidly to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated buoyant growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +66.0% against 2015 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when imports increased by 22%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the Netherlands (X tons) represented the key importer of flaked or rolled cereals, creating 29% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Germany (X tons), Ireland (X tons), France (X tons), Poland (X tons) and Italy (X tons), together making up a 40% share of total imports. Spain (X tons), Belgium (X tons), Austria (X tons), Latvia (X tons), the Czech Republic (X tons), Portugal (X tons) and Denmark (X tons) held a little share of total imports.

The Netherlands experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of imports of flaked or rolled cereals. At the same time, Ireland (+25.7%), Spain (+13.9%), Latvia (+12.1%), Portugal (+10.9%), Italy (+9.7%), Poland (+7.1%), Belgium (+7.0%), France (+3.9%) and Germany (+3.5%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Ireland emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in the European Union, with a CAGR of +25.7% from 2012-2022. Austria and Denmark experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. By contrast, the Czech Republic (-4.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Ireland (+7.5 p.p.), Spain (+2.2 p.p.) and Italy (+2.2 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Denmark (-1.6 p.p.), the Czech Republic (-3.4 p.p.) and the Netherlands (-12.6 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the Netherlands ($X), Germany ($X) and France ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, together comprising 46% of total imports. Poland, Italy, Ireland, Spain, Belgium, the Czech Republic, Austria, Latvia, Portugal and Denmark lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 37%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Ireland, with a CAGR of +18.4%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in the European Union stood at $X per ton in 2022, surging by 7.6% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.1%. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by 12%. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Czech Republic ($X per ton), while Ireland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Czech Republic (+5.6%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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