Germany: Market for Fresh Bread and Miscellaneous Bakery 2024

Market Size for Fresh Bread and Miscellaneous Bakery in Germany

The German market for fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery reduced modestly to $X in 2021, remaining constant against the previous year. Overall, consumption recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery consumption peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Production of Fresh Bread and Miscellaneous Bakery in Germany

In value terms, fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery production amounted to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 6.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports of Fresh Bread and Miscellaneous Bakery

Exports from Germany

For the seventh consecutive year, Germany recorded growth in shipments abroad of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery, which increased by 1.9% to X tons in 2021. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.6% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by 6.6% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2021 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

In value terms, fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exports expanded remarkably to $X in 2021. The total export value increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the peak figure in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

France (X tons), Austria (X tons) and Italy (X tons) were the main destinations of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exports from Germany, together accounting for 34% of total exports. The Netherlands, the UK, Poland, Belgium, Denmark, Spain, Switzerland, the Czech Republic and Sweden lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 46%.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for the Czech Republic (with a CAGR of +6.8%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest markets for fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery exported from Germany were Austria ($X), France ($X) and the UK ($X), together comprising 34% of total exports. These countries were followed by the Netherlands, Italy, Belgium, Poland, Switzerland, Spain, Denmark, the Czech Republic and Sweden, which together accounted for a further 44%.

In terms of the main countries of destination, the Czech Republic, with a CAGR of +7.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average export price for fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery amounted to $X per ton, growing by 4.3% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the average export price increased by 5.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major foreign markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Poland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Sweden (+0.6%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Fresh Bread and Miscellaneous Bakery

Imports into Germany

In 2021, approx. X tons of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery were imported into Germany; growing by 9.5% compared with 2020 figures. Over the period under review, total imports indicated strong growth from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +65.3% against 2012 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 11% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2021 and are likely to continue growth in the near future.

In value terms, fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery imports surged to $X in 2021. Overall, total imports indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +56.6% against 2015 indices. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

The Netherlands (X tons), France (X tons) and Poland (X tons) were the main suppliers of fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery imports to Germany, together accounting for 52% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by the Netherlands (with a CAGR of +13.8%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery suppliers to Germany were Italy ($X), the Netherlands ($X) and France ($X), with a combined 51% share of total imports. These countries were followed by Poland, Belgium, Austria, Denmark and Spain, which together accounted for a further 35%.

Among the main suppliers, Poland, with a CAGR of +12.6%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average import price for fresh bread and miscellaneous bakery stood at $X per ton in 2021, increasing by 5.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($X per ton), while the price for Poland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+2.0%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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