Germany: Whole Fresh Milk Market 2024

Whole Fresh Milk Market Size in Germany

The German whole fresh milk market amounted to $X in 2022, surging by 1.9% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. Whole fresh milk consumption peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Whole Fresh Milk Production in Germany

In value terms, whole fresh milk production totaled $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the production volume increased by 25%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

Whole Fresh Milk Exports

Exports from Germany

In 2022, approx. X tons of whole fresh milk were exported from Germany; dropping by -22.1% on 2021 figures. Overall, exports saw a pronounced shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 11%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, whole fresh milk exports dropped to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed a slight contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when exports increased by 15%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

The Netherlands (X tons) was the main destination for whole fresh milk exports from Germany, with a 47% share of total exports. Moreover, whole fresh milk exports to the Netherlands exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, China (X tons), fourfold. Italy (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to the Netherlands totaled +6.7%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+14.6% per year) and Italy (-13.0% per year).

In value terms, the Netherlands ($X) remains the key foreign market for whole fresh milk exports from Germany, comprising 41% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by China ($X), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by Italy, with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to the Netherlands totaled +8.2%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+17.4% per year) and Italy (-10.6% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average whole fresh milk export price amounted to $X per ton, jumping by 20% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the average export price increased by 25%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Belgium ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to France (+3.6%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Whole Fresh Milk Imports

Imports into Germany

In 2022, purchases abroad of whole fresh milk increased by 2.8% to X tons, rising for the third year in a row after two years of decline. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a pronounced increase from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +22.6% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 25% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, whole fresh milk imports soared to $X in 2022. In general, total imports indicated a buoyant increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +70.1% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 55% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

The Czech Republic (X tons), Poland (X tons) and Denmark (X tons) were the main suppliers of whole fresh milk imports to Germany, together comprising 59% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Poland (with a CAGR of +9.3%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest whole fresh milk suppliers to Germany were the Czech Republic ($X), Poland ($X) and Austria ($X), together accounting for 59% of total imports.

Among the main suppliers, Poland, with a CAGR of +12.3%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average whole fresh milk import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by 23% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.7%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 24% against the previous year. The import price peaked in 2022 and is likely to see steady growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the Netherlands ($X per ton), while the price for France ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+4.4%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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