Indonesia: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Indonesia

The Indonesian grain market was finally on the rise to reach $X in 2022, after three years of decline. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the market failed to regain momentum.

Grain Production in Indonesia

In value terms, grain production reduced modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production posted a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of X%. Grain production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of cereal grains in Indonesia reduced modestly to X tons per ha in 2022, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Over the period under review, the yield, however, showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the average grain yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The grain harvested area in Indonesia expanded to X ha in 2022, with an increase of X% against the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the harvested area increased by X%. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the grain harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Grain Exports

Exports from Indonesia

In 2022, the amount of cereal grains exported from Indonesia soared to X tons, picking up by X% against 2021 figures. Over the period under review, exports showed buoyant growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, grain exports surged to $X in 2022. In general, exports enjoyed a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of X%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

The Philippines (X tons) was the main destination for grain exports from Indonesia, accounting for a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Vietnam (X tons), with a X% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to the Philippines amounted to X%.

In value terms, the Philippines ($X) emerged as the key foreign market for cereal grains exports from Indonesia, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Vietnam ($X), with a X% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to the Philippines amounted to X%.

Export Prices by Country

The average grain export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, shrinking by X% against the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a perceptible reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton, and then plummeted in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Vietnam ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to the Philippines amounted to $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Vietnam (X%).

Grain Imports

Imports into Indonesia

In 2022, the amount of cereal grains imported into Indonesia declined dramatically to X tons, waning by X% on 2021. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at X tons in 2021, and then contracted sharply in the following year.

In value terms, grain imports expanded remarkably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

Australia (X tons), Argentina (X tons) and Canada (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Indonesia, together accounting for X% of total imports. India, Brazil, the United States and Ukraine lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Brazil (with a CAGR of X%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Australia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cereal grains to Indonesia, comprising X% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Argentina ($X), with a X% share of total imports. It was followed by Canada, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Australia stood at X%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Argentina (X% per year) and Canada (X% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average grain import price amounted to $X per ton, surging by X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2020 indices. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the countries with the highest prices were Canada ($X per ton) and the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Brazil ($X per ton) and Argentina ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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