Indonesia: Unmanufactured Tobacco Market 2025

Unmanufactured Tobacco Market Size in Indonesia

After five years of growth, the Indonesian unmanufactured tobacco market decreased by -4.6% to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded temperate growth. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2021, and then fell modestly in the following year.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Production in Indonesia

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production continues to indicate moderate growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the production volume increased by 60%. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2020; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

The average yield of tobacco (unmanufactured) in Indonesia was estimated at X tons per ha in 2022, approximately mirroring the previous year's figure. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when the yield increased by 19% against the previous year. The unmanufactured tobacco yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2020; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of tobacco (unmanufactured) were harvested in Indonesia; picking up by 3.5% on the previous year. In general, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a perceptible curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the harvested area increased by 29% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to unmanufactured tobacco production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Exports

Exports from Indonesia

After two years of decline, shipments abroad of tobacco (unmanufactured) increased by 119% to X tons in 2022. Overall, exports recorded a strong expansion. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco exports soared to $X in 2022. In general, exports posted a buoyant expansion. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

The Dominican Republic (X tons), Singapore (X tons) and the United States (X tons) were the main destinations of unmanufactured tobacco exports from Indonesia, with a combined 48% share of total exports. Vietnam, Belgium, Sri Lanka, the Philippines, Italy, Germany, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, Poland and Tunisia lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 28%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Vietnam (with a CAGR of +53.8%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Singapore ($X), Germany ($X) and the Dominican Republic ($X) constituted the largest markets for unmanufactured tobacco exported from Indonesia worldwide, together accounting for 33% of total exports.

In terms of the main countries of destination, Singapore, with a CAGR of +39.9%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco export price amounted to $X per ton, dropping by -17.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +2.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 an increase of 18%. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2021, and then dropped notably in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Vietnam ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Germany (+15.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Unmanufactured Tobacco Imports

Imports into Indonesia

In 2022, overseas purchases of tobacco (unmanufactured) increased by 19% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Overall, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 47% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, unmanufactured tobacco imports shrank to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, showed a mild slump. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 30% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, China (X tons) constituted the largest unmanufactured tobacco supplier to Indonesia, accounting for a 42% share of total imports. Moreover, unmanufactured tobacco imports from China exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Brazil (X tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was taken by India (X tons), with a 6.4% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from China totaled -2.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Brazil (+11.5% per year) and India (+0.0% per year).

In value terms, China ($X), Brazil ($X) and India ($X) constituted the largest unmanufactured tobacco suppliers to Indonesia, together accounting for 61% of total imports. The United States, Zimbabwe, Turkey, the Philippines, Italy and Thailand lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 21%.

Among the main suppliers, the Philippines, with a CAGR of +10.9%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average unmanufactured tobacco import price amounted to $X per ton, waning by -21% against the previous year. Overall, the import price saw a slight descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the average import price increased by 12% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2015 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for the Philippines ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by India (+0.7%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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