Japan: Coffee Substitutes Market 2025

Coffee Substitutes Market Size in Japan

The Japanese coffee substitutes market expanded slightly to $X in 2022, growing by 4.4% against the previous year. In general, the total consumption indicated a slight expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption increased by +14.1% against 2019 indices. Coffee substitutes consumption peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Coffee Substitutes Production in Japan

In value terms, coffee substitutes production rose to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 37% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

Coffee Substitutes Exports

Exports from Japan

In 2022, shipments abroad of coffee substitutes containing coffee decreased by -11.2% to X kg, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Overall, exports showed a abrupt contraction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 3,218%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, coffee substitutes exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. In general, exports, however, posted a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 2,633%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Hong Kong SAR (X kg) was the main destination for coffee substitutes exports from Japan, with a 66% share of total exports. Moreover, coffee substitutes exports to Hong Kong SAR exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Singapore (X kg), threefold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Hong Kong SAR stood at -10.0%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Singapore (-24.4% per year) and Canada (-62.3% per year).

In value terms, Singapore ($X), Hong Kong SAR ($X) and Canada ($X) appeared to be the largest markets for coffee substitutes exported from Japan worldwide.

Singapore, with a CAGR of +77.1%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

Export Prices by Country

The average coffee substitutes export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of 343% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed a buoyant expansion. As a result, the export price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Singapore ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Hong Kong SAR ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Singapore (+134.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Coffee Substitutes Imports

Imports into Japan

In 2022, purchases abroad of coffee substitutes containing coffee decreased by -48.4% to X tons, falling for the third year in a row after two years of growth. In general, imports recorded a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 1,736% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, coffee substitutes imports shrank markedly to $X in 2022. Overall, imports saw a deep reduction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 919%. Imports peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Mexico (X tons), Bolivia (X tons) and Brazil (X tons) were the main suppliers of coffee substitutes imports to Japan, together accounting for 82% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Bolivia (with a CAGR of +35.8%), while imports for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, the largest coffee substitutes suppliers to Japan were Bolivia ($X), Guatemala ($X) and Brazil ($X), together comprising 85% of total imports.

Among the main suppliers, Bolivia, with a CAGR of +37.1%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

Import Prices by Country

The average coffee substitutes import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by 39% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, continues to indicate a deep contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 168%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Guatemala ($X per ton), while the price for Mexico ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Myanmar (+92.7%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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