Kazakhstan: Barley Market 2024

Barley Market Size in Kazakhstan

The Kazakh barley market surged to $X in 2022, increasing by 18% against the previous year. Overall, the total consumption indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -7.9% against 2020 indices. Over the period under review, the market attained the peak level at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Barley Production in Kazakhstan

In value terms, barley production reduced slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production increased by +1.5% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 when the production volume increased by 85% against the previous year. Barley production peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of barley in Kazakhstan expanded significantly to X tons per ha in 2022, growing by 12% against the year before. Overall, the yield indicated pronounced growth from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, barley yield decreased by -27.7% against 2016 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when the yield increased by 52%. The barley yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The barley harvested area in Kazakhstan rose sharply to X ha in 2022, increasing by 13% against 2021. In general, the total harvested area indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its figure increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, barley harvested area decreased by -17.9% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the harvested area increased by 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to barley production reached the maximum at X ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Barley Exports

Exports from Kazakhstan

In 2022, overseas shipments of barley were finally on the rise to reach X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a three-year declining trend. Overall, exports enjoyed a buoyant expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when exports increased by 221%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, barley exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. In general, exports recorded prominent growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when exports increased by 143%. The exports peaked at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Iran (X tons), China (X tons) and Uzbekistan (X tons) were the main destinations of barley exports from Kazakhstan, with a combined 90% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by China (with a CAGR of +86.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Iran ($X) remains the key foreign market for barley exports from Kazakhstan, comprising 55% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by China ($X), with a 26% share of total exports. It was followed by Uzbekistan, with a 9.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Iran stood at +6.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: China (+106.1% per year) and Uzbekistan (+14.5% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average barley export price amounted to $X per ton, surging by 21% against the previous year. Overall, export price indicated a modest expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, barley export price increased by +70.2% against 2017 indices. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Iran ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to China (+10.6%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Barley Imports

Imports into Kazakhstan

In 2022, approx. X tons of barley were imported into Kazakhstan; jumping by 22% compared with the year before. Over the period under review, imports posted a resilient increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 477%. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

In value terms, barley imports expanded markedly to $X in 2022. In general, imports recorded a noticeable increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 521%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the main barley supplier to Kazakhstan, accounting for a approx. 100% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia amounted to +13.2%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of barley to Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Russia stood at +7.3%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average barley import price amounted to $X per ton, declining by -7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price showed a abrupt setback. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the average import price increased by 32%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Russia.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Denmark amounted to +16.5% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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