Kazakhstan: Market for Flaked or Rolled Cereals 2025

Market Size for Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Kazakhstan

The Kazakh flaked or rolled cereal market amounted to $X in 2022, increasing by 4.2% against the previous year. Overall, the total consumption indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -10.4% against 2020 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Production of Flaked or Rolled Cereals in Kazakhstan

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal production expanded notably to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production showed a buoyant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the production volume increased by 33% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Exports from Kazakhstan

In 2022, shipments abroad of flaked or rolled cereals increased by 9.5% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. In general, exports posted a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 222%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when exports increased by 152%. The exports peaked in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

Ukraine (X tons) was the main destination for flaked or rolled cereal exports from Kazakhstan, with a 35% share of total exports. Moreover, flaked or rolled cereal exports to Ukraine exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Latvia (X tons), threefold. Turkey (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 13% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Ukraine stood at +42.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Latvia (0.0% per year) and Turkey (+119.5% per year).

In value terms, Ukraine ($X) remains the key foreign market for flaked or rolled cereals exports from Kazakhstan, comprising 44% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Latvia ($X), with a 16% share of total exports. It was followed by Lithuania, with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Ukraine totaled +49.5%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Latvia (0.0% per year) and Lithuania (0.0% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average flaked or rolled cereal export price amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of 21% against the previous year. In general, the export price showed buoyant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when the average export price increased by 51%. The export price peaked in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Lithuania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uzbekistan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Ukraine (+5.2%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Imports of Flaked or Rolled Cereals

Imports into Kazakhstan

In 2022, approx. X tons of flaked or rolled cereals were imported into Kazakhstan; surging by 1.7% against the year before. In general, total imports indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports decreased by -0.2% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 23% against the previous year. Imports peaked at X tons in 2019; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

In value terms, flaked or rolled cereal imports rose modestly to $X in 2022. Overall, total imports indicated a moderate increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +83.6% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the main flaked or rolled cereal supplier to Kazakhstan, with a approx. 98% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia totaled +5.5%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of flaked or rolled cereals to Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Russia totaled +4.4%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average flaked or rolled cereal import price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 1.7% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when the average import price increased by 17%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Russia.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Russia amounted to -1.0% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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