Kazakhstan: Cheese Market 2025

Cheese Market Size in Kazakhstan

In 2021, the Kazakh cheese market increased by 11% to $X, rising for the fifth consecutive year after three years of decline. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the period from 2012 to 2021; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level in 2021 and is likely to continue growth in the near future.

Cheese Production in Kazakhstan

In value terms, cheese production fell to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, the total production indicated a strong increase from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +6.8% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the production volume increased by 30% against the previous year. Cheese production peaked at $X in 2020, and then declined in the following year.

Cheese Exports

Exports from Kazakhstan

In 2021, cheese exports from Kazakhstan skyrocketed to X tons, jumping by 16% compared with the previous year's figure. Overall, exports enjoyed a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 101% against the previous year. The exports peaked in 2021 and are likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

In value terms, cheese exports expanded notably to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports enjoyed significant growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 117%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Russia (X tons) was the main destination for cheese exports from Kazakhstan, with a 88% share of total exports. Moreover, cheese exports to Russia exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Kyrgyzstan (X tons), tenfold.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Russia totaled +22.8%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) remains the key foreign market for cheese exports from Kazakhstan, comprising 88% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Kyrgyzstan ($X), with a 9.3% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to Russia amounted to +25.4%.

Export Prices by Country

The average cheese export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, which is down by -5.2% against the previous year. Over the last nine years, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.5%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average export price increased by 52%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2018 to 2021, the average export prices remained at a lower figure.

Average prices varied noticeably for the major foreign markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Russia totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Russia (+2.1%).

Cheese Imports

Imports into Kazakhstan

In 2021, the amount of cheese imported into Kazakhstan expanded sharply to X tons, increasing by 6.7% against 2020 figures. Overall, total imports indicated a notable increase from 2012 to 2021: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +60.9% against 2015 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 20% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, cheese imports surged to $X in 2021. In general, total imports indicated a tangible expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +97.0% against 2016 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when imports increased by 32%. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Russia (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of cheese to Kazakhstan, with a 50% share of total imports. Moreover, cheese imports from Russia exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Belarus (X tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by Lithuania (X tons), with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia stood at +5.7%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Belarus (+26.3% per year) and Lithuania (+20.8% per year).

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cheese to Kazakhstan, comprising 48% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Belarus ($X), with a 20% share of total imports. It was followed by Ukraine, with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Russia totaled +4.0%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Belarus (+26.1% per year) and Ukraine (-10.8% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average cheese import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, with an increase of 13% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, saw a noticeable downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 20% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Ukraine ($X per ton), while the price for Kyrgyzstan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ukraine (+0.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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