Kazakhstan: Durum Wheat Market 2024

Durum Wheat Market Size in Kazakhstan

The Kazakh durum wheat market rose rapidly to $X in 2022, surging by 9.6% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.6% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Durum wheat consumption peaked at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Durum Wheat Production in Kazakhstan

In value terms, durum wheat production rose sharply to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when the production volume increased by 44% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In 2022, the average durum wheat yield in Kazakhstan expanded markedly to X tons per ha, with an increase of 13% on the year before. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +2.9% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when the yield increased by 36%. The durum wheat yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the yield failed to regain momentum. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The durum wheat harvested area in Kazakhstan contracted slightly to X ha in 2022, with a decrease of -2.6% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the harvested area saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 6.9% against the previous year. The durum wheat harvested area peaked at X ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Exports

Exports from Kazakhstan

In 2022, overseas shipments of durum wheat decreased by -9.4% to X tons, falling for the fifth consecutive year after two years of growth. Over the period under review, exports showed a perceptible descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 when exports increased by 171% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, durum wheat exports reached $X in 2022. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 166% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Italy (X tons) was the main destination for durum wheat exports from Kazakhstan, with a 51% share of total exports. Moreover, durum wheat exports to Italy exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Russia (X tons), threefold. Turkey (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Italy totaled +3.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Russia (-9.4% per year) and Turkey (-6.3% per year).

In value terms, Italy ($X) remains the key foreign market for durum wheat exports from Kazakhstan, comprising 50% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Russia ($X), with a 23% share of total exports. It was followed by Latvia, with an 8.6% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Italy totaled +7.0%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Russia (-3.8% per year) and Latvia (+23.1% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average durum wheat export price amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a perceptible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, durum wheat export price increased by +101.9% against 2016 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 48%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Poland ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Turkey ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Sweden (+12.7%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Durum Wheat Imports

Imports into Kazakhstan

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in purchases abroad of durum wheat, when their volume decreased by -9.5% to X tons. In general, imports, however, saw a significant expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 1,372%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

In value terms, durum wheat imports fell notably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports, however, enjoyed a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 841%. Over the period under review, imports attained the peak figure at $X in 2021, and then fell sharply in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the main durum wheat supplier to Kazakhstan, accounting for a approx. 100% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Russia stood at +56.2%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of durum wheat to Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Russia stood at +47.8%.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average durum wheat import price amounted to $X per ton, reducing by -14.8% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a deep reduction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 an increase of 27% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Russia.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Russia amounted to -5.4% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) :