Kazakhstan: Market for Wheat and Meslin Flour 2025

Market Size for Wheat and Meslin Flour in Kazakhstan

After four years of growth, the Kazakh wheat and meslin flour market decreased by -15.3% to $X in 2022. In general, the total consumption indicated moderate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Production of Wheat and Meslin Flour in Kazakhstan

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 11%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022.

Exports of Wheat and Meslin Flour

Exports from Kazakhstan

In 2022, approx. X tons of wheat and meslin flour were exported from Kazakhstan; jumping by 32% on the previous year's figure. Overall, exports, however, recorded a slight shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when exports increased by 70% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. In general, total exports indicated a moderate increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, the exports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

Afghanistan (X tons) was the main destination for wheat and meslin flour exports from Kazakhstan, with a 70% share of total exports. Moreover, wheat and meslin flour exports to Afghanistan exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Uzbekistan (X tons), threefold. Tajikistan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 3.3% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Afghanistan amounted to +10.3%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uzbekistan (-10.2% per year) and Tajikistan (-14.4% per year).

In value terms, Afghanistan ($X) remains the key foreign market for wheat and meslin flour exports from Kazakhstan, comprising 74% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uzbekistan ($X), with a 19% share of total exports. It was followed by Tajikistan, with a 2.8% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Afghanistan stood at +12.4%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uzbekistan (-7.1% per year) and Tajikistan (-12.9% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average wheat and meslin flour export price amounted to $X per ton, rising by 30% against the previous year. Over the last decade, it increased at an average annual rate of +3.7%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Average prices varied somewhat for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the countries with the highest prices were Turkmenistan ($X per ton) and Afghanistan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uzbekistan ($X per ton) and Tajikistan ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Kyrgyzstan (+3.8%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Imports of Wheat and Meslin Flour

Imports into Kazakhstan

For the sixth year in a row, Kazakhstan recorded growth in overseas purchases of wheat and meslin flour, which increased by 187% to X tons in 2022. In general, imports enjoyed a significant expansion. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, wheat and meslin flour imports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, imports posted a significant increase. As a result, imports attained the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Russia (X tons) was the main wheat and meslin flour supplier to Kazakhstan, with a approx. 98% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Russia stood at +26.8%.

In value terms, Russia ($X) constituted the largest supplier of wheat and meslin flour to Kazakhstan.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Russia totaled +22.6%.

Import Prices by Country

The average wheat and meslin flour import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, falling by -18.9% against the previous year. In general, the import price recorded a pronounced shrinkage. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 an increase of 30% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for Russia.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Russia amounted to -3.3% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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