Kenya: Cheese Market 2024

Cheese Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan cheese market reached $X in 2021, approximately equating the previous year. Over the period under review, the total consumption indicated perceptible growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.8% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, consumption increased by +102.3% against 2015 indices. Cheese consumption peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Cheese Production in Kenya

In value terms, cheese production surged to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, showed a resilient increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 with an increase of 50%. Cheese production peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.

Cheese Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, cheese exports from Kenya dropped to X tons, declining by -10.7% compared with the previous year. Over the period under review, exports, however, posted mild growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 83% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2021, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cheese exports soared to $X in 2021. In general, exports, however, saw a prominent expansion. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 189%. The exports peaked in 2021 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Exports by Country

South Sudan (X tons), Tanzania (X tons) and Rwanda (X tons) were the main destinations of cheese exports from Kenya, with a combined 70% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for South Sudan (with a CAGR of +22.4%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, South Sudan ($X), Tanzania ($X) and Rwanda ($X) were the largest markets for cheese exported from Kenya worldwide, together accounting for 77% of total exports.

Tanzania, with a CAGR of +34.5%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, in terms of the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average cheese export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, picking up by 38% against the previous year. Overall, the export price showed a strong expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 an increase of 95%. The export price peaked in 2021 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Poland ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Uganda (+18.2%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Cheese Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, approx. X tons of cheese were imported into Kenya; which is down by -32.8% on the year before. In general, imports recorded a deep contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when imports increased by 105%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, cheese imports shrank dramatically to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a abrupt setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 113% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Italy (X tons), Egypt (X tons) and New Zealand (X tons) were the main suppliers of cheese imports to Kenya, with a combined 47% share of total imports. France, Ireland, Austria, Denmark, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the UK and Germany lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 49%.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for the United Arab Emirates (with a CAGR of +18.7%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest cheese suppliers to Kenya were Italy ($X), France ($X) and Ireland ($X), with a combined 43% share of total imports. These countries were followed by Egypt, Denmark, Austria, New Zealand, the United Arab Emirates, the UK, South Africa, Germany and Saudi Arabia, which together accounted for a further 52%.

Among the main suppliers, the United Arab Emirates, with a CAGR of +32.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average cheese import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, reducing by -20.2% against the previous year. Over the last nine years, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.0%. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the average import price increased by 29% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2020, and then reduced notably in the following year.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the price for Saudi Arabia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (+22.9%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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