Kenya: Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Market 2024

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan cigarettes containing tobacco market totaled $X in 2022, surging by 2.6% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 9.3% against the previous year. Cigarettes containing tobacco consumption peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Production in Kenya

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco production rose to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 16%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, the amount of cigarettes containing tobacco exported from Kenya shrank rapidly to X tons, which is down by -18.3% on 2021. Over the period under review, exports recorded a perceptible contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 with an increase of 44%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco exports reduced dramatically to $X in 2022. In general, exports saw a slight downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 53% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Somalia (X tons), Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) and Mauritius (X tons) were the main destinations of cigarettes containing tobacco exports from Kenya, with a combined 68% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Democratic Republic of the Congo (with a CAGR of +18.5%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, Mauritius ($X), Somalia ($X) and Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) appeared to be the largest markets for cigarettes containing tobacco exported from Kenya worldwide, with a combined 83% share of total exports.

In terms of the main countries of destination, Democratic Republic of the Congo, with a CAGR of +17.8%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average cigarettes containing tobacco export price amounted to $X per ton, stabilizing at the previous year. In general, export price indicated a perceptible expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cigarettes containing tobacco export price increased by +68.0% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 25%. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the maximum in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Mauritius ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Rwanda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Mauritius (+7.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Cigarettes Containing Tobacco Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, after four years of growth, there was decline in overseas purchases of cigarettes containing tobacco, when their volume decreased by -2.7% to X tons. Overall, imports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 861% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, cigarettes containing tobacco imports totaled $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports recorded a noticeable shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 805%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Vietnam (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of cigarettes containing tobacco to Kenya, accounting for a 41% share of total imports. Moreover, cigarettes containing tobacco imports from Vietnam exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, the UK (X tons), fivefold. Turkey (X tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with an 8.5% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from Vietnam stood at +8.5%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the UK (+53.5% per year) and Turkey (+99.8% per year).

In value terms, Vietnam ($X) constituted the largest supplier of cigarettes containing tobacco to Kenya, comprising 34% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Singapore ($X), with a 12% share of total imports. It was followed by the UK, with a 9.2% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Vietnam stood at +8.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Singapore (+108.3% per year) and the UK (+49.1% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average cigarettes containing tobacco import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by 4.9% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, recorded a perceptible contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when the average import price increased by 33% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Suriname ($X per ton), while the price for Portugal ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (+2.8%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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