Kenya: Market for Coal Other Than Lingite 2024

Market Size for Coal Other Than Lingite in Kenya

The Kenyan coal other than lingite market rose notably to $X in 2022, growing by 6.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers' margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). Overall, consumption recorded a significant increase. Coal other than lingite consumption peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports of Coal Other Than Lingite

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, the amount of coal other than lingites exported from Kenya expanded sharply to X tons, increasing by 7.4% against the previous year. Overall, exports enjoyed significant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 235%. The exports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

In value terms, coal other than lingite exports shrank to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate significant growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 164%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Burundi (X tons) was the main destination for coal other than lingite exports from Kenya, with a 67% share of total exports. Moreover, coal other than lingite exports to Burundi exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Uganda (X tons), twofold. Rwanda (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 1.7% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Burundi amounted to -3.8%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (+169.9% per year) and Rwanda (+159.3% per year).

In value terms, the largest markets for coal other than lingite exported from Kenya were Burundi ($X), Uganda ($X) and Rwanda ($X), together accounting for 99% of total exports.

Uganda, with a CAGR of +88.3%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main countries of destination over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average coal other than lingite export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, falling by -16.3% against the previous year. In general, the export price saw a deep slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the average export price increased by 73%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uganda ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Burundi (+5.1%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Imports of Coal Other Than Lingite

Imports into Kenya

Coal other than lingite imports into Kenya amounted to X tons in 2022, picking up by 11% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, imports posted a significant expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 557%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, coal other than lingite imports rose slightly to $X in 2022. Overall, imports continue to indicate a significant increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2013 when imports increased by 571% against the previous year. Imports peaked at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2022, South Africa (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of coal other than lingite to Kenya, with a 52% share of total imports. Moreover, coal other than lingite imports from South Africa exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Mozambique (X tons), twofold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume from South Africa stood at +34.7%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Mozambique (+22.6% per year) and Tanzania (+49.5% per year).

In value terms, South Africa ($X) constituted the largest supplier of coal other than lingites to Kenya, comprising 67% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Mozambique ($X), with a 25% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from South Africa totaled +36.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Mozambique (+17.9% per year) and Tanzania (+21.9% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average coal other than lingite import price amounted to $X per ton, with a decrease of -5.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a noticeable curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the average import price increased by 32%. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was South Africa ($X per ton), while the price for Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by South Africa (+1.6%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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