Kenya: Market for Condensed Or Evaporated Milk (Unsweetened) 2024

Market Size for Condensed Or Evaporated Milk (Unsweetened) in Kenya

The Kenyan market for condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) shrank rapidly to $X in 2021, with a decrease of -36.4% against the previous year. In general, consumption saw a drastic downturn. Unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Production of Condensed Or Evaporated Milk (Unsweetened) in Kenya

In value terms, unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk production rose to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, faced a abrupt downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 when the production volume increased by 65%. Unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Exports of Condensed Or Evaporated Milk (Unsweetened)

Exports from Kenya

After two years of decline, shipments abroad of condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) increased by 158% to X tons in 2021. In general, exports showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when exports increased by 312%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2021, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk exports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a abrupt decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 254% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) was the main destination for unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk exports from Kenya, with a 67% share of total exports. Moreover, unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk exports to Democratic Republic of the Congo exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, South Sudan (X tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was held by Tanzania (X tons), with a 13% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume to Democratic Republic of the Congo stood at +75.9%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: South Sudan (+13.2% per year) and Tanzania (-15.8% per year).

In value terms, Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) remains the key foreign market for condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) exports from Kenya, comprising 61% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by South Sudan ($X), with a 25% share of total exports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a 13% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Democratic Republic of the Congo amounted to +52.1%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: South Sudan (+7.0% per year) and Tanzania (-18.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average export price for condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) amounted to $X per ton, surging by 11% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, saw a deep setback. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 when the average export price increased by 42%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was South Sudan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Rwanda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tanzania (-3.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Imports of Condensed Or Evaporated Milk (Unsweetened)

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, approx. X tons of condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) were imported into Kenya; reducing by -71.6% against the previous year. In general, imports showed a abrupt decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 8,643%. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons, and then dropped significantly in the following year.

In value terms, unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk imports fell dramatically to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, imports recorded a abrupt setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when imports increased by 9,207%. As a result, imports attained the peak of $X, and then fell rapidly in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Uganda (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk to Kenya, accounting for a 80% share of total imports. Moreover, unsweetened condensed and evaporated milk imports from Uganda exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Saudi Arabia (X tons), eightfold. The third position in this ranking was taken by the United States (X tons), with a 7.8% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Uganda was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Saudi Arabia (-13.3% per year) and the United States (+208.0% per year).

In value terms, Uganda ($X) constituted the largest supplier of condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) to Kenya, comprising 89% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Saudi Arabia ($X), with a 5.9% share of total imports. It was followed by the United States, with a 3.3% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value from Uganda totaled +14.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Saudi Arabia (-20.8% per year) and the United States (+124.6% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average import price for condensed or evaporated milk (unsweetened) stood at $X per ton in 2021, with a decrease of -25.1% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2021: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.7% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the average import price increased by 44%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, import prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Germany ($X per ton), while the price for the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uganda (+14.0%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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