Kenya: Market for Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers 2024

Market Size for Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers in Kenya

The Kenyan market for carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers reduced dramatically to $X in 2022, waning by -26% against the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, continues to indicate a measured increase. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Production of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers in Kenya

In value terms, production of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers reduced slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a pronounced expansion from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -4.3% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 54%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2020 to 2022, production of growth remained at a lower figure.

Exports of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers

Exports from Kenya

After four years of decline, shipments abroad of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers increased by 7% to X tons in 2022. Overall, exports, however, continue to indicate a precipitous descent. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when exports increased by 13,674% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the exports of remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, exports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, faced a significant contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 11,791% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the exports of remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Zambia (X tons) was the main destination for exports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers from Kenya, with a 61% share of total exports. Moreover, exports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers to Zambia exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Uganda (X tons), threefold. Rwanda (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 12% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Zambia amounted to +12.3%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (-32.1% per year) and Rwanda (+6.1% per year).

In value terms, Zambia ($X) remains the key foreign market for carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers exports from Kenya, comprising 42% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Uganda ($X), with a 15% share of total exports. It was followed by Rwanda, with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Zambia totaled +5.2%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (-31.4% per year) and Rwanda (-0.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average export price for carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by 10% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the average export price increased by 74% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Burundi ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Burundi (+13.1%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Imports of Carnallite, Sylvite and Other Crude Natural Potassium Salts, Potassium Magnesium Sulphate and Mixtures of Potassic Fertilisers

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, the amount of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers imported into Kenya fell remarkably to X tons, which is down by -28.9% against 2021 figures. In general, imports, however, showed a buoyant expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when imports increased by 386% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of imports of failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, imports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers contracted markedly to $X in 2022. Overall, imports recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 309%. As a result, imports attained the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of imports of remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

The UK (X tons), Jordan (X tons) and Belarus (X tons) were the main suppliers of imports of carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers to Kenya, together comprising 86% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by the UK (with a CAGR of +101.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the UK ($X), Jordan ($X) and Belarus ($X) were the largest carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers suppliers to Kenya, together accounting for 81% of total imports.

In terms of the main suppliers, the UK, with a CAGR of +62.1%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average import price for carnallite, sylvite and other crude natural potassium salts, potassium magnesium sulphate and mixtures of potassic fertilisers amounted to $X per ton, rising by 6.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price, however, saw a abrupt downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the average import price increased by 22% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was China ($X per ton), while the price for Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+0.1%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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