Kenya: Denatured Ethyl Alcohol Market 2024

Denatured Ethyl Alcohol Market Size in Kenya

In 2021, after two years of growth, there was decline in the Kenyan denatured ethyl alcohol market, when its value decreased by -2.2% to $X. Over the period under review, consumption, however, showed a perceptible decline. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Denatured Ethyl Alcohol Production in Kenya

In value terms, denatured ethyl alcohol production contracted modestly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, recorded a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 22%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2021, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Denatured Ethyl Alcohol Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, approx. X tons of denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits were exported from Kenya; jumping by 65% against the year before. In general, exports, however, showed a abrupt shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 2,248%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, denatured ethyl alcohol exports soared to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports, however, continue to indicate a abrupt contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when exports increased by 1,812% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Tanzania (X tons) was the main destination for denatured ethyl alcohol exports from Kenya, accounting for a 92% share of total exports. Moreover, denatured ethyl alcohol exports to Tanzania exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Rwanda (X tons), more than tenfold. South Sudan (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a 1.8% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume to Tanzania amounted to +2.9%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Rwanda (-22.1% per year) and South Sudan (-12.1% per year).

In value terms, Tanzania ($X), Rwanda ($X) and South Sudan ($X) were the largest markets for denatured ethyl alcohol exported from Kenya worldwide, with a combined 95% share of total exports.

Among the main countries of destination, South Sudan, with a CAGR of +31.0%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average denatured ethyl alcohol export price amounted to $X per ton, flattening at the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a slight descent. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 an increase of 74% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2021, the country with the highest price was South Sudan ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to South Sudan (+49.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Denatured Ethyl Alcohol Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, purchases abroad of denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits increased by 5.8% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Over the period under review, imports, however, faced a dramatic setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when imports increased by 1,292% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2018 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, denatured ethyl alcohol imports expanded modestly to $X in 2021. In general, imports, however, faced a dramatic contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by 1,459%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2018 to 2021, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2021, Sudan (X tons) constituted the largest denatured ethyl alcohol supplier to Kenya, with a 84% share of total imports. Moreover, denatured ethyl alcohol imports from Sudan exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, the United States (X tons), eightfold. Tanzania (X tons) ranked third in terms of total imports with a 4.2% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume from Sudan was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United States (+1.1% per year) and Tanzania (-17.9% per year).

In value terms, Sudan ($X) constituted the largest supplier of denatured ethyl alcohol and other denatured spirits to Kenya, comprising 75% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by the United States ($X), with a 17% share of total imports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a 4.9% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from Sudan was relatively modest. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United States (-0.8% per year) and Tanzania (-34.8% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average denatured ethyl alcohol import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, with a decrease of -1.9% against the previous year. Overall, the import price recorded a abrupt contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 an increase of 17% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, import prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably country of origin: the country with the highest price was India ($X per ton), while the price for Sudan ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Mauritius (+7.3%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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