Kenya: Dried Prune Market 2024

Dried Prune Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan dried prune market rose to $X in 2022, surging by 4.3% against the previous year. Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded a deep reduction. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Dried Prune Production in Kenya

In value terms, dried prune production stood at $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a abrupt contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Dried Prune Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, overseas shipments of dried prunes decreased by -45.1% to X kg for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year rising trend. In general, exports, however, posted strong growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when exports increased by 881%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X kg, and then reduced rapidly in the following year.

In value terms, dried prune exports contracted notably to $X in 2022. Overall, exports, however, saw significant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of 789% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X, and then dropped sharply in the following year.

Exports by Country

Uganda (X kg) was the main destination for dried prune exports from Kenya, accounting for a 92% share of total exports. Moreover, dried prune exports to Uganda exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Rwanda (X kg), more than tenfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Uganda amounted to +15.7%.

In value terms, Uganda ($X) remains the key foreign market for dried prunes exports from Kenya, comprising 100% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Rwanda ($X), with a 0.5% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Uganda totaled +24.8%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average dried prune export price amounted to $X per ton, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the period under review, export price indicated a perceptible increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, dried prune export price decreased by -21.1% against 2019 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 when the average export price increased by 53% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Uganda ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Rwanda totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to South Sudan (+86.3%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Dried Prune Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, purchases abroad of dried prunes decreased by -2.7% to X tons for the first time since 2015, thus ending a six-year rising trend. Over the period under review, imports, however, posted perceptible growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 134% against the previous year. Imports peaked at X tons in 2021, and then reduced modestly in the following year.

In value terms, dried prune imports fell remarkably to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 138% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2021, and then shrank notably in the following year.

Imports by Country

The UK (X tons), South Africa (X tons) and the United Arab Emirates (X kg) were the main suppliers of dried prune imports to Kenya, with a combined 66% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United Arab Emirates (with a CAGR of +30.0%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the UK ($X) constituted the largest supplier of dried prunes to Kenya, comprising 35% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates ($X), with a 15% share of total imports. It was followed by South Africa, with an 11% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from the UK stood at +6.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: the United Arab Emirates (+49.4% per year) and South Africa (-7.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average dried prune import price amounted to $X per ton, which is down by -17.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a noticeable contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 when the average import price increased by 54% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Argentina ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (+15.0%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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