Kenya: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan grain market stood at $X in 2022, picking up by X% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Grain consumption peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Grain Production in Kenya

In value terms, grain production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a prominent increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by X% against 2018 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.

The average yield of grain in Kenya rose markedly to X tons per ha in 2022, growing by X% against the previous year's figure. In general, the yield, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 when the yield increased by X%. Over the period under review, the average grain yield hit record highs at X tons per ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the yield stood at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the grain harvested area in Kenya contracted to X ha, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. Overall, the harvested area showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Grain Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, overseas shipments of grain decreased by X% to X tons, falling for the second year in a row after four years of growth. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw a prominent expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, grain exports shrank notably to $X in 2022. In general, exports saw a perceptible downturn. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Uganda (X tons) was the main destination for grain exports from Kenya, with a X% share of total exports. Moreover, grain exports to Uganda exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Canada (X tons), sevenfold. Saudi Arabia (X tons) ranked third in terms of total exports with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of volume to Uganda amounted to X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Canada (X% per year) and Saudi Arabia (X% per year).

In value terms, Uganda ($X) remains the key foreign market for grain exports from Kenya, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Tanzania, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Uganda stood at X%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Canada (X% per year) and Tanzania (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average grain export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, reducing by X% against the previous year. Overall, the export price saw a deep downturn. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2015 to 2022, the average export prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Uganda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tanzania (X%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced mixed trend patterns.

Grain Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, approx. X tons of grain were imported into Kenya; remaining stable against the year before. In general, imports, however, showed strong growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when imports increased by X%. Imports peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grain imports surged to $X in 2022. Overall, imports, however, enjoyed a prominent expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to see gradual growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Tanzania (X tons), Argentina (X tons) and Russia (X tons) were the main suppliers of grain imports to Kenya, with a combined X% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Tanzania (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest grain suppliers to Kenya were Argentina ($X), Tanzania ($X) and Russia ($X), with a combined X% share of total imports. Australia, Lithuania, Poland, the United States, Canada, Ukraine and the United Arab Emirates lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further X%.

In terms of the main suppliers, Australia, with a CAGR of X%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The average grain import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by X% against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated modest growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain import price increased by X% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of X%. Over the period under review, average import prices hit record highs in 2022 and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while the price for Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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