Kenya: Millet Market 2025

Millet Market Size in Kenya

In 2022, the Kenyan millet market decreased by -3.2% to $X, falling for the second consecutive year after three years of growth. Overall, consumption showed a measured increase. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Millet Production in Kenya

In value terms, millet production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, production posted a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by 194%. Millet production peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In 2022, the average yield of millet in Kenya surged to X kg per ha, with an increase of 76% on the year before. In general, the yield, however, continues to indicate a pronounced slump. The millet yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of millet production in Kenya declined slightly to X ha, falling by -2.8% on the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 with an increase of 43% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to millet production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Millet Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, approx. X tons of millet were exported from Kenya; which is down by -62.7% compared with 2021. Over the period under review, exports recorded a drastic downturn. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2020 when exports increased by 88%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, millet exports dropped markedly to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed a abrupt downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 343%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

The United States (X tons), Saudi Arabia (X tons) and Uganda (X tons) were the main destinations of millet exports from Kenya, together comprising 96% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for the United States (with a CAGR of -6.8%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced a decline.

In value terms, the United States ($X) remains the key foreign market for millet exports from Kenya, comprising 51% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Uganda ($X), with a 23% share of total exports. It was followed by Saudi Arabia, with an 18% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to the United States was relatively modest. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Uganda (-17.9% per year) and Saudi Arabia (-37.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average millet export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, declining by -26.8% against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, recorded a prominent increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 an increase of 189%. Over the period under review, the average export prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major export markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Canada ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Saudi Arabia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Tanzania (+3,666.8%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Millet Imports

Imports into Kenya

After two years of growth, overseas purchases of millet decreased by -98.2% to X tons in 2022. In general, imports showed a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 when imports increased by 2,015% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2021, and then dropped dramatically in the following year.

In value terms, millet imports dropped remarkably to $X in 2022. Overall, imports continue to indicate a deep slump. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when imports increased by 1,707% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2021, and then shrank remarkably in the following year.

Imports by Country

Ethiopia (X tons), Uganda (X tons) and Tanzania (X tons) were the main suppliers of millet imports to Kenya, together accounting for 98% of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Ethiopia (with a CAGR of +26.6%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, Uganda ($X) constituted the largest supplier of millet to Kenya, comprising 56% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Ethiopia ($X), with a 26% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Uganda totaled -11.8%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Ethiopia (+30.9% per year) and Tanzania (+16.2% per year).

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the average millet import price amounted to $X per ton, picking up by 26% against the previous year. Overall, the import price saw prominent growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 an increase of 87%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2019 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Uganda ($X per ton), while the price for Tanzania ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uganda (+12.4%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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