Kenya: Olive Market 2025

Olive Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan olive market skyrocketed to $X in 2022, increasing by 982% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, the market hit record highs at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Olive Production in Kenya

In value terms, olive production declined modestly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. In general, the total production indicated a remarkable increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.9% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -5.3% against 2019 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 41% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

In 2022, the average olive yield in Kenya amounted to less than X kg per ha, remaining relatively unchanged against 2021 figures. Overall, the yield recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the olive harvested area in Kenya stood at less than X ha, remaining relatively unchanged against the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area showed a relatively flat trend pattern.

Olive Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, shipments abroad of olives increased by 2,938% to X tons, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. In general, exports enjoyed significant growth. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2021, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, olive exports skyrocketed to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports enjoyed significant growth. The exports peaked at $X in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Democratic Republic of the Congo (X tons) was the main destination for olive exports from Kenya, with a approx. 99% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of volume to Democratic Republic of the Congo was relatively modest.

In value terms, Democratic Republic of the Congo ($X) emerged as the key foreign market for olives exports from Kenya.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value to Democratic Republic of the Congo was relatively modest.

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average olive export price amounted to $X per ton, falling by -62.3% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when the average export price increased by 38%. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2021, the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Democratic Republic of the Congo.

From 2012 to 2021, the rate of growth in terms of prices for South Sudan amounted to +8.3% per year.

Olive Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, approx. X tons of olives were imported into Kenya; increasing by 70% compared with the previous year. In general, imports, however, saw a drastic downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 100% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, olive imports surged to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a noticeable expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when imports increased by 250% against the previous year. Imports peaked at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United Arab Emirates (X tons) was the main olive supplier to Kenya, with a 90% share of total imports. Moreover, olive imports from the United Arab Emirates exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Italy (X kg), ninefold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from the United Arab Emirates totaled -3.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (-21.4% per year) and South Africa (-45.8% per year).

In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X) constituted the largest supplier of olives to Kenya, comprising 85% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Italy ($X), with a 15% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from the United Arab Emirates totaled +35.3%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Italy (-13.8% per year) and South Africa (-42.3% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average olive import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, waning by -8% against the previous year. In general, the import price, however, enjoyed resilient growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when the average import price increased by 102% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2021, and then contracted in the following year.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($X per ton), while the price for South Africa ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (+40.7%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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