Kenya: Rye Market 2024

Rye Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan rye market reduced rapidly to $X in 2022, which is down by -33.9% against the previous year. Overall, consumption, however, recorded a significant expansion. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X, and then reduced sharply in the following year.

Rye Production in Kenya

In value terms, rye production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2013 with an increase of 12% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

In 2022, the average rye yield in Kenya amounted to less than X kg per ha, leveling off at 2021. Overall, the yield saw a relatively flat trend pattern. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of rye production in Kenya amounted to less than X ha, flattening at the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the harvested area continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern.

Rye Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2022, exports of rye from Kenya skyrocketed to X tons, rising by 399% on 2021 figures. In general, exports recorded resilient growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 478%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, rye exports soared to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports posted a prominent expansion. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Israel (X tons) was the main destination for rye exports from Kenya, accounting for a 85% share of total exports. Moreover, rye exports to Israel exceeded the volume sent to the second major destination, Saudi Arabia (X tons), ninefold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Israel amounted to +5.6%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Saudi Arabia (+13.1% per year) and Canada (+44.1% per year).

In value terms, Israel ($X) remains the key foreign market for rye exports from Kenya, comprising 90% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Saudi Arabia ($X), with a 4.7% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value to Israel amounted to +6.0%. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: Saudi Arabia (-1.3% per year) and Canada (+25.3% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The average rye export price stood at $X per ton in 2022, approximately mirroring the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 an increase of 71%. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the average export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major overseas markets. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Israel ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Saudi Arabia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Israel (+0.4%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Rye Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2022, supplies from abroad of rye decreased by -1.8% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after six years of growth. Over the period under review, imports, however, showed significant growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 1,213% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, rye imports contracted modestly to $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, continue to indicate a significant increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2013 when imports increased by 951% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $X in 2021, and then declined in the following year.

Imports by Country

In 2022, Uganda (X tons) constituted the largest rye supplier to Kenya, accounting for a 69% share of total imports. Moreover, rye imports from Uganda exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, the UK (X tons), twofold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from Uganda stood at +60.8%.

In value terms, the largest rye suppliers to Kenya were the UK ($X) and Uganda ($X).

Among the main suppliers, the UK, with a CAGR of +128.8%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review.

Import Prices by Country

The average rye import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, remaining constant against the previous year. Overall, import price indicated a moderate expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +4.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, rye import price increased by +41.1% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 an increase of 60%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2016 to 2022, the average import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the UK ($X per ton), while the price for Uganda totaled $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Uganda (+8.6%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced mixed trend patterns.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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