Kenya: Paper Bag Market 2024

Paper Bag Market Size in Kenya

The Kenyan paper bag market skyrocketed to $X in 2021, surging by 15% against the previous year. In general, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. As a result, consumption attained the peak level of $X. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Paper Bag Production in Kenya

In value terms, paper bag production dropped slightly to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.9% over the period from 2012 to 2021; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2018 with an increase of 24%. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2019 to 2021, production growth remained at a lower figure.

Paper Bag Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, after two years of growth, there was significant decline in overseas shipments of sacks and bags of paper, when their volume decreased by -29.5% to X tons. Over the period under review, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 38% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2020, and then shrank dramatically in the following year.

In value terms, paper bag exports contracted notably to $X in 2021. Overall, total exports indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the last nine years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, exports decreased by -28.6% against 2018 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 53%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at $X in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Egypt (X tons), Uganda (X tons) and Rwanda (X tons) were the main destinations of paper bag exports from Kenya, with a combined 66% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the main countries of destination, was attained by Egypt (with a CAGR of +48.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Egypt ($X), Uganda ($X) and Rwanda ($X) appeared to be the largest markets for paper bag exported from Kenya worldwide, together accounting for 65% of total exports.

Among the main countries of destination, Egypt, with a CAGR of +48.6%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Export Prices by Country

The average paper bag export price stood at $X per ton in 2021, growing by 10% against the previous year. Over the last nine-year period, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 an increase of 20%. Over the period under review, the average export prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2018; however, from 2019 to 2021, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices for the major foreign markets. In 2021, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Ethiopia ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Uganda (+7.5%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced more modest paces of growth.

Paper Bag Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, the amount of sacks and bags of paper imported into Kenya expanded sharply to X tons, with an increase of 6.7% compared with the year before. In general, imports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 when imports increased by 75% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of X tons. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, paper bag imports soared to $X in 2021. Overall, total imports indicated mild growth from 2012 to 2021: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last nine-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2021 figures, imports increased by +66.4% against 2017 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 44% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2015 to 2021, the growth of imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

In 2021, India (X tons) constituted the largest supplier of paper bag to Kenya, with a 45% share of total imports. Moreover, paper bag imports from India exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Sri Lanka (X tons), threefold. The third position in this ranking was taken by China (X tons), with an 8.9% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from India stood at +16.4%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Sri Lanka (+20.2% per year) and China (-9.2% per year).

In value terms, India ($X) constituted the largest supplier of sacks and bags of paper to Kenya, comprising 44% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by Sri Lanka ($X), with a 20% share of total imports. It was followed by China, with an 8.6% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual growth rate of value from India totaled +17.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Sri Lanka (+20.2% per year) and China (-4.6% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average paper bag import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, surging by 17% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2021, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.3%. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2013; afterwards, it flattened through to 2021.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Saudi Arabia ($X per ton), while the price for Italy ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by China (+5.0%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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