Kenya: Uncooked Pasta Market 2024

Uncooked Pasta Market Size in Kenya

In 2021, after four years of decline, there was growth in the Kenyan uncooked pasta market, when its value increased by 1.6% to $X. Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate a abrupt setback. Uncooked pasta consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Uncooked Pasta Production in Kenya

In value terms, uncooked pasta production expanded to $X in 2021 estimated in export price. In general, production, however, recorded a deep contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 46% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production reached the peak level at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, production failed to regain momentum.

Uncooked Pasta Exports

Exports from Kenya

In 2021, shipments abroad of uncooked pasta decreased by -15.6% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. In general, exports, however, showed pronounced growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when exports increased by 1,198%. The exports peaked at X tons in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2021, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta exports reduced to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, exports recorded a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when exports increased by 1,996% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports attained the maximum at $X in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2021, the exports remained at a lower figure.

Exports by Country

Zambia (X tons), South Africa (X tons) and South Sudan (X tons) were the main destinations of uncooked pasta exports from Kenya, with a combined 67% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2021, the biggest increases were recorded for South Africa (with a CAGR of +95.9%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Zambia ($X) emerged as the key foreign market for uncooked pasta exports from Kenya, comprising 30% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by South Africa ($X), with a 14% share of total exports. It was followed by South Sudan, with a 13% share.

From 2012 to 2021, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Zambia was relatively modest. Exports to the other major destinations recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: South Africa (+86.6% per year) and South Sudan (-16.8% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2021, the average uncooked pasta export price amounted to $X per ton, increasing by 7.2% against the previous year. Overall, the export price, however, saw a deep contraction. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 an increase of 62% against the previous year. The export price peaked at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably country of destination: the country with the highest price was Tanzania ($X per ton), while the average price for exports to Rwanda ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was recorded for supplies to Burundi (+12.0%), while the prices for the other major destinations experienced a decline.

Uncooked Pasta Imports

Imports into Kenya

In 2021, overseas purchases of uncooked pasta decreased by -1.8% to X tons for the first time since 2018, thus ending a two-year rising trend. Overall, imports showed a mild shrinkage. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 55%. As a result, imports reached the peak of X tons. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, uncooked pasta imports contracted to $X in 2021. Over the period under review, imports recorded a drastic downturn. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 when imports increased by 57%. As a result, imports reached the peak of $X. From 2016 to 2021, the growth of imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

Egypt (X tons), Turkey (X tons) and Iran (X tons) were the main suppliers of uncooked pasta imports to Kenya, with a combined 85% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Iran (with a CAGR of +11.8%), while imports for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, Egypt ($X), Turkey ($X) and Iran ($X) were the largest uncooked pasta suppliers to Kenya, with a combined 76% share of total imports.

In terms of the main suppliers, Iran, with a CAGR of +4.2%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced a decline.

Import Prices by Country

The average uncooked pasta import price stood at $X per ton in 2021, falling by -12.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw a abrupt curtailment. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2020 when the average import price increased by 13%. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the peak figure at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2021, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2021, the country with the highest price was Italy ($X per ton), while the price for the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2021, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Italy (+1.8%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced a decline.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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