Libya: Durum Wheat Market 2025

Durum Wheat Market Size in Libya

In 2022, the Libyan durum wheat market increased by 21% to $X, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Over the period under review, consumption, however, saw a noticeable shrinkage. Over the period under review, the market reached the maximum level at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Production in Libya

In value terms, durum wheat production shrank to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production continues to indicate a deep downturn. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when the production volume increased by 31% against the previous year. Durum wheat production peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The average yield of durum wheat in Libya was estimated at X kg per ha in 2022, stabilizing at the previous year. Overall, the yield, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 1.2%. The durum wheat yield peaked at X kg per ha in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

The durum wheat harvested area in Libya contracted to X ha in 2022, remaining relatively unchanged against the year before. Over the period under review, the harvested area recorded a pronounced descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the harvested area increased by 41%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to durum wheat production reached the peak figure at X ha in 2016; however, from 2017 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Durum Wheat Exports

Exports from Libya

In 2020, overseas shipments of durum wheat decreased by 0% to X tons for the first time since 2016, thus ending a three-year declining trend. Over the period under review, exports showed a sharp descent. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 with an increase of 0.5% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2017 to 2020, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, durum wheat exports totaled $X in 2020. In general, exports showed a sharp decline. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 0.5%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2017 to 2020, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

The UK (X tons) was the main destination for durum wheat exports from Libya, with a approx. 100% share of total exports.

From 2015 to 2020, the average annual growth rate of volume to the UK was relatively modest.

From 2015 to 2020, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to the UK was relatively modest.

Export Prices by Country

In 2020, the average durum wheat export price amounted to $X per ton, approximately reflecting the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price continues to indicate a deep downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the average export price decreased by less than 0.1% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the average export prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2020, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for the UK.

From 2015 to 2020, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Tunisia amounted to -5.8% per year.

Durum Wheat Imports

Imports into Libya

In 2022, the amount of durum wheat imported into Libya surged to X tons, rising by 86% on the year before. In general, imports continue to indicate a noticeable expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 280% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, durum wheat imports soared to $X in 2022. Overall, imports showed buoyant growth. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when imports increased by 254%. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the immediate term.

Imports by Country

Spain (X tons), Canada (X tons) and Turkey (X tons) were the main suppliers of durum wheat imports to Libya, together comprising 64% of total imports. These countries were followed by Italy, which accounted for a further 4.3%.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main suppliers, was attained by Italy (with a CAGR of +46.1%), while imports for the other leaders experienced mixed trend patterns.

In value terms, Spain ($X) constituted the largest supplier of durum wheat to Libya, comprising 34% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($X), with a 16% share of total imports. It was followed by Turkey, with a 10% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value from Spain totaled +52.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Canada (-2.8% per year) and Turkey (+21.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average durum wheat import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by 31% against the previous year. In general, import price indicated a prominent expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +5.3% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, durum wheat import price increased by +110.7% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 an increase of 33% against the previous year. Over the period under review, average import prices reached the maximum in 2022 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major supplying countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Spain ($X per ton), while the price for Canada ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Turkey (+73.4%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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