MENA: Oat Market 2025

Oat Market Size in MENA

The MENA's oat market expanded significantly to $X in 2022, picking up by 5.8% against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.5% over the period from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Oat Production in MENA

In value terms, oat production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production showed a strong increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the production volume increased by 892%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2017 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

Turkey (X tons) remains the largest oat producing country in MENA, comprising approx. 82% of total volume. Moreover, oat production in Turkey exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Algeria (X tons), fivefold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Turkey stood at +3.5%. The remaining producing countries recorded the following average annual rates of production growth: Algeria (-6.7% per year) and Morocco (-20.1% per year).

The average oat yield reached X tons per ha in 2022, increasing by 11% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the yield showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 36% against the previous year. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the oat yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of oats production in MENA declined modestly to X ha, remaining constant against the previous year's figure. Overall, the harvested area recorded a mild contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 14%. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2018 to 2022, the growth of the oat harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Oat Exports

Exports in MENA

After two years of decline, overseas shipments of oats increased by 129% to X tons in 2022. In general, exports posted prominent growth. As a result, the exports reached the peak and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

In value terms, oat exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports continue to indicate a noticeable expansion. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 134%. As a result, the exports attained the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

The United Arab Emirates represented the major exporter of oats in MENA, with the volume of exports resulting at X tons, which was near 85% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Turkey (X tons), constituting an 11% share of total exports. Egypt (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to oat exports from the United Arab Emirates stood at +10.4%. At the same time, Egypt (+241.6%) and Turkey (+65.7%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Egypt emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in MENA, with a CAGR of +241.6% from 2012-2022. While the share of Turkey (+10 p.p.) and Egypt (+3.8 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of the United Arab Emirates (-12.2 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, the United Arab Emirates ($X) remains the largest oat supplier in MENA, comprising 92% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by Turkey ($X), with a 5.4% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in the United Arab Emirates totaled +2.1%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Turkey (+50.7% per year) and Egypt (+185.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in MENA amounted to $X per ton, falling by -41.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price saw a deep reduction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the export price increased by 49% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum at $X per ton in 2017; however, from 2018 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while Turkey ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (-7.4%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.

Oat Imports

Imports in MENA

In 2022, overseas purchases of oats decreased by -15.4% to X tons, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. Overall, imports, however, showed a resilient expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 when imports increased by 142%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, oat imports stood at $X in 2022. In general, imports, however, showed a strong increase. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 110% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

Imports by Country

The United Arab Emirates dominates imports structure, amounting to X tons, which was approx. 68% of total imports in 2022. Saudi Arabia (X tons) held a 9.8% share (based on physical terms) of total imports, which put it in second place, followed by Turkey (9.5%). The following importers - Yemen (X tons), Oman (X tons), Algeria (X tons) and Libya (X tons) - each resulted at a 7.7% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to oat imports into the United Arab Emirates stood at +15.6%. At the same time, Oman (+16.0%), Turkey (+12.7%), Yemen (+12.5%), Libya (+11.5%) and Saudi Arabia (+5.0%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Oman emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in MENA, with a CAGR of +16.0% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Algeria (-20.1%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. The United Arab Emirates (+38 p.p.) and Turkey (+4 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total imports, while Saudi Arabia and Algeria saw its share reduced by -1.7% and -31% from 2012 to 2022, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the largest oat importing markets in MENA were the United Arab Emirates ($X), Saudi Arabia ($X) and Yemen ($X), together comprising 81% of total imports. Turkey, Oman, Algeria and Libya lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 13%.

In terms of the main importing countries, Oman, with a CAGR of +20.5%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in MENA stood at $X per ton in 2022, jumping by 26% against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when the import price increased by 53% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Yemen ($X per ton), while the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Oman (+3.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform