MENA: Poppy Seed Market 2025

Poppy Seed Market Size in MENA

In 2022, the MENA's poppy seed market decreased by -15.8% to $X, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. In general, consumption, however, saw a mild reduction. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, consumption remained at a lower figure.

Poppy Seed Production in MENA

In value terms, poppy seed production fell to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, continues to indicate a slight curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2018 when the production volume increased by 76% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production hit record highs at $X in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

The country with the largest volume of poppy seed production was Turkey (X tons), comprising approx. 96% of total volume. Moreover, poppy seed production in Turkey exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Palestine (X tons), more than tenfold.

In Turkey, poppy seed production increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% over the period from 2012-2022.

The average poppy seed yield soared to X tons per ha in 2022, jumping by 101% against 2021 figures. Overall, the yield recorded a measured increase. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2016 with an increase of 136%. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the yield remained at a lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of poppy seed production in MENA dropped to X ha, which is down by -8.2% against 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the harvested area recorded a mild decline. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when the harvested area increased by 130% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the poppy seed harvested area remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Poppy Seed Exports

Exports in MENA

In 2022, overseas shipments of poppy seed increased by 250% to X tons, rising for the second consecutive year after two years of decline. Overall, exports recorded tangible growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 533%. As a result, the exports reached the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, poppy seed exports soared to $X in 2022. In general, exports continue to indicate a resilient expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 555%. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs in 2022 and are likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

Exports by Country

In 2022, Turkey (X tons) represented the main exporter of poppy seed in MENA, generating 99% of total export.

Turkey was also the fastest-growing in terms of the poppy seed exports, with a CAGR of +3.7% from 2012 to 2022. The shares of the largest exporters remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Turkey ($X) also remains the largest poppy seed supplier in MENA.

In Turkey, poppy seed exports increased at an average annual rate of +6.4% over the period from 2012-2022.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in MENA stood at $X per ton in 2022, with an increase of 14% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +2.6%. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 an increase of 35% against the previous year. As a result, the export price reached the peak level of $X per ton. From 2014 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Turkey.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Turkey amounted to +2.6% per year.

Poppy Seed Imports

Imports in MENA

In 2022, the amount of poppy seed imported in MENA contracted to X tons, declining by -12.5% on 2021 figures. Over the period under review, imports continue to indicate a noticeable setback. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 11%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, poppy seed imports fell to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated tangible growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.0% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports decreased by -47.5% against 2019 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 60% against the previous year. As a result, imports attained the peak of $X. From 2020 to 2022, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Imports by Country

Israel was the major importing country with an import of around X tons, which resulted at 64% of total imports. Palestine (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total imports with a 14% share, followed by Morocco (12%) and Turkey (8.7%).

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to poppy seed imports into Israel stood at +2.7%. At the same time, Turkey (+26.2%) and Morocco (+11.4%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Turkey emerged as the fastest-growing importer imported in MENA, with a CAGR of +26.2% from 2012-2022. By contrast, Palestine (-17.7%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Israel (+33 p.p.), Morocco (+9.1 p.p.) and Turkey (+8.7 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2012-2022, the share of Palestine (-48 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Israel ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported poppy seed in MENA, comprising 62% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Palestine ($X), with a 14% share of total imports. It was followed by Morocco, with a 12% share.

In Israel, poppy seed imports increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the period from 2012-2022. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Palestine (-8.3% per year) and Morocco (+16.3% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in MENA stood at $X per ton in 2022, remaining stable against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price saw resilient growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 an increase of 44% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $X per ton. From 2020 to 2022, the import prices failed to regain momentum.

Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in Turkey ($X per ton) and Morocco ($X per ton), while Israel ($X per ton) and Palestine ($X per ton) were amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Palestine (+11.5%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform