MERCOSUR: Coffee Substitutes Market 2025

Coffee Substitutes Market Size in MERCOSUR

The MERCOSUR coffee substitutes market amounted to $X in 2022, remaining stable against the previous year. The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.

Coffee Substitutes Production in MERCOSUR

In value terms, coffee substitutes production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 when the production volume increased by 13% against the previous year. As a result, production attained the peak level of $X. From 2021 to 2022, production growth remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Coffee Substitutes Exports

Exports in MERCOSUR

In 2022, coffee substitutes exports in MERCOSUR skyrocketed to X tons, picking up by 59% against the year before. In general, exports showed moderate growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by 244% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at X tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the exports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, coffee substitutes exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports posted a perceptible increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2020 with an increase of 219% against the previous year. As a result, the exports reached the peak of $X. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the exports failed to regain momentum.

Exports by Country

Colombia dominates exports structure, recording X tons, which was near 74% of total exports in 2022. It was distantly followed by Peru (X tons), Chile (X tons), Ecuador (X tons) and Brazil (X tons), together constituting a 26% share of total exports.

Colombia was also the fastest-growing in terms of the coffee substitutes containing coffee exports, with a CAGR of +53.6% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Chile (+25.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, Ecuador (-6.3%), Brazil (-10.3%) and Peru (-15.2%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of Colombia (+73 p.p.) and Chile (+6 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of Ecuador (-12.1 p.p.), Brazil (-16.4 p.p.) and Peru (-49.9 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.

In value terms, Colombia ($X) remains the largest coffee substitutes supplier in MERCOSUR, comprising 69% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Chile ($X), with a 12% share of total exports. It was followed by Ecuador, with an 8.2% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Colombia amounted to +53.2%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Chile (+55.6% per year) and Ecuador (-7.2% per year).

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the export price in MERCOSUR amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of 16% against the previous year. In general, the export price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the export price increased by 37%. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was Chile ($X per ton), while Peru ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Chile (+24.5%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the export price figures.

Coffee Substitutes Imports

Imports in MERCOSUR

After two years of growth, supplies from abroad of coffee substitutes containing coffee decreased by -42.1% to X tons in 2022. Overall, imports recorded a pronounced decrease. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when imports increased by 148% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

In value terms, coffee substitutes imports declined rapidly to $X in 2022. In general, imports recorded a abrupt shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of 286%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at $X in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, imports failed to regain momentum.

Imports by Country

Chile (X tons) and Venezuela (X tons) dominates imports structure, together committing 84% of total imports. It was distantly followed by Peru (X tons), achieving an 8.4% share of total imports. Suriname (X tons) took a little share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Venezuela (with a CAGR of +41.9%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Chile ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported coffee substitutes containing coffee in MERCOSUR, comprising 64% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Venezuela ($X), with a 17% share of total imports. It was followed by Peru, with a 13% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Chile amounted to +35.0%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Venezuela (+29.6% per year) and Peru (-15.7% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The import price in MERCOSUR stood at $X per ton in 2022, dropping by -26.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price continues to indicate a slight setback. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 an increase of 56% against the previous year. Over the period under review, import prices attained the maximum at $X per ton in 2015; however, from 2016 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Peru ($X per ton), while Venezuela ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Chile (+5.1%), while the other leaders experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.

Source: IndexBox Platform