Mexico: Wheat Market 2025

Wheat Market Size in Mexico

In 2022, the Mexican wheat market increased by 1.8% to $X, rising for the second year in a row after three years of decline. In general, consumption, however, showed a perceptible curtailment. Wheat consumption peaked at $X in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Wheat Production in Mexico

In value terms, wheat production fell slightly to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production recorded a noticeable shrinkage. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 16%. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2016 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

The average yield of wheat in Mexico reduced to X tons per ha in 2022, with a decrease of -5.7% against the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, the yield continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 when the yield increased by 18%. Over the period under review, the average wheat yield attained the peak level at X tons per ha in 2021, and then reduced in the following year. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of wheat were harvested in Mexico; leveling off at the previous year's figure. Overall, the harvested area, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of 16% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area attained the peak level of X ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the wheat harvested area remained at a somewhat lower figure.

Wheat Exports

Exports from Mexico

In 2022, overseas shipments of wheat decreased by -28.9% to X tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. Overall, exports saw a abrupt shrinkage. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 when exports increased by 217% against the previous year. The exports peaked at X tons in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, wheat exports shrank dramatically to $X in 2022. In general, exports showed a abrupt slump. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of 267% against the previous year. The exports peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Exports by Country

Algeria (X tons) was the main destination for wheat exports from Mexico, with a approx. 100% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume to Algeria stood at -4.3%.

In value terms, Algeria ($X) also remains the key foreign market for wheat exports from Mexico.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value to Algeria stood at -5.9%.

Export Prices by Country

In 2022, the average wheat export price amounted to $X per ton, which is down by -14.8% against the previous year. Overall, the export price continues to indicate a slight downturn. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 an increase of 49% against the previous year. As a result, the export price attained the peak level of $X per ton, and then dropped in the following year.

As there is only one major export destination, the average price level is determined by prices for Algeria.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for Turkey amounted to +6.7% per year.

Wheat Imports

Imports into Mexico

In 2022, imports of wheat into Mexico expanded markedly to X tons, surging by 10% against the previous year. In general, imports, however, saw a pronounced contraction. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2021 when imports increased by 116%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs at X tons in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, wheat imports rose sharply to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, total imports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +7.6% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +42.6% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of 83% against the previous year. Imports peaked in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United States (X tons) constituted the largest wheat supplier to Mexico, accounting for a 89% share of total imports. Moreover, wheat imports from the United States exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest supplier, Argentina (X tons), more than tenfold.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume from the United States stood at -2.9%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Argentina (0.0% per year) and Canada (-17.4% per year).

In value terms, the United States ($X) constituted the largest supplier of wheat to Mexico, comprising 93% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by Canada ($X), with a 4.9% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value from the United States totaled +10.1%. The remaining supplying countries recorded the following average annual rates of imports growth: Canada (-7.3% per year) and Argentina (0.0% per year).

Import Prices by Country

The average wheat import price stood at $X per ton in 2022, picking up by 2.5% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price showed a strong expansion. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 an increase of 70% against the previous year. The import price peaked at $X per ton in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while the price for Argentina ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Russia (+34.2%), while the prices for the other major suppliers experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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