MENA: Cereal Market 2025

Cereal Market Size in MENA

The MENA's cereal market expanded notably to $X in 2022, surging by X% against the previous year. Overall, consumption saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2019 when the market value increased by X%. Over the period under review, the market attained the maximum level at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Cereal Production in MENA

In value terms, cereal production reached $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Overall, production, however, showed a mild reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2013 with an increase of X% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $X. From 2014 to 2022, production growth failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Turkey (X tons), Egypt (X tons) and Iran (X tons), with a combined X% share of total production. Iraq, Morocco, Algeria and Syrian Arab Republic lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further X%.

From 2012 to 2022, the biggest increases were recorded for Iraq (with a CAGR of X%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In 2022, the average cereal yield in MENA declined to X tons per ha, flattening at 2021. Over the period under review, the yield, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when the yield increased by X% against the previous year. As a result, the yield attained the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the cereal yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, approx. X ha of cereals were harvested in MENA; picking up by X% against the previous year's figure. Overall, the harvested area, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when the harvested area increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to cereal production attained the peak figure at X ha in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, the harvested area stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Cereal Exports

Exports in MENA

After two years of growth, overseas shipments of cereals decreased by X% to X tons in 2022. In general, exports, however, continue to indicate a remarkable increase. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2015 when exports increased by X%. The volume of export peaked at X tons in 2021, and then reduced sharply in the following year.

In value terms, cereal exports dropped remarkably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, showed a strong expansion. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by X%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at $X in 2021, and then fell sharply in the following year.

Exports by Country

Turkey was the key exporter of cereals in MENA, with the volume of exports finishing at X tons, which was approx. X% of total exports in 2022. The United Arab Emirates (X tons) took the second position in the ranking, distantly followed by Oman (X tons). All these countries together held near X% share of total exports. The following exporters - Syrian Arab Republic (X tons), Jordan (X tons) and Iran (X tons) - together made up X% of total exports.

Exports from Turkey increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022. At the same time, Oman (X%), Syrian Arab Republic (X%), Jordan (X%), Iran (X%) and the United Arab Emirates (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Oman emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in MENA, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. While the share of Turkey (X p.p.), Oman (X p.p.) and Syrian Arab Republic (X p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2012-2022, the share of the United Arab Emirates (X p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Turkey ($X) emerged as the largest cereal supplier in MENA, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Oman, with a X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in Turkey stood at X%. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: the United Arab Emirates (X% per year) and Oman (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in MENA stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated a mild expansion from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, cereal export price increased by X% against 2018 indices. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while Iran ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Cereal Imports

Imports in MENA

In 2022, after two years of decline, there was growth in overseas purchases of cereals, when their volume increased by X% to X tons. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2014 when imports increased by X% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, cereal imports rose remarkably to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated temperate growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2017 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2021 with an increase of X%. The level of import peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

The purchases of the six major importers of cereals, namely Algeria, Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Morocco, represented more than two-thirds of total import. Yemen (X tons), Libya (X tons), Tunisia (X tons), Israel (X tons), the United Arab Emirates (X tons) and Jordan (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key importing countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, the largest cereal importing markets in MENA were Egypt ($X), Turkey ($X) and Algeria ($X), with a combined X% share of total imports.

In terms of the main importing countries, Turkey, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in MENA amounted to $X per ton, with an increase of X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2021 when the import price increased by X%. Over the period under review, import prices hit record highs at $X per ton in 2012; however, from 2013 to 2022, import prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of destination: amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Tunisia ($X per ton), while Iran ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform