Middle East: Grain Market 2025

Grain Market Size in the Middle East

In 2022, the Middle Eastern grain market was finally on the rise to reach $X for the first time since 2019, thus ending a two-year declining trend. Over the period under review, consumption, however, continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, consumption failed to regain momentum.

Grain Production in the Middle East

In value terms, grain production amounted to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. Over the period under review, production, however, continues to indicate a slight decrease. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 when the production volume increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $X in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, production remained at a lower figure.

Turkey (X tons) remains the largest grain producing country in the Middle East, comprising approx. X% of total volume. Moreover, grain production in Turkey exceeded the figures recorded by the second-largest producer, Iran (X tons), twofold. The third position in this ranking was held by Iraq (X tons), with an X% share.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of volume in Turkey was relatively modest. In the other countries, the average annual rates were as follows: Iran (X% per year) and Iraq (X% per year).

The average grain yield rose significantly to X tons per ha in 2022, with an increase of X% against 2021 figures. Over the period under review, the yield showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2015 with an increase of X%. As a result, the yield reached the peak level of X tons per ha. From 2016 to 2022, the growth of the grain yield remained at a somewhat lower figure. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the total area harvested in terms of grain production in the Middle East totaled X ha, picking up by X% against the previous year's figure. In general, the harvested area recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the harvested area dedicated to grain production attained the maximum at X ha in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, the harvested area failed to regain momentum.

Grain Exports

Exports in the Middle East

After two years of growth, shipments abroad of grain decreased by X% to X tons in 2022. Overall, exports, however, showed a strong increase. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 when exports increased by X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports hit record highs at X tons in 2021, and then reduced dramatically in the following year.

In value terms, grain exports dropped remarkably to $X in 2022. Over the period under review, exports, however, saw strong growth. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of X%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at $X in 2021, and then contracted sharply in the following year.

Exports by Country

Turkey represented the largest exporting country with an export of around X tons, which amounted to X% of total exports. The United Arab Emirates (X tons) ranks second in terms of the total exports with a X% share, followed by Oman (X%). The following exporters - Syrian Arab Republic (X tons), Jordan (X tons) and Iran (X tons) - together made up X% of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, average annual rates of growth with regard to grain exports from Turkey stood at X%. At the same time, Oman (X%), Syrian Arab Republic (X%), Jordan (X%), Iran (X%) and the United Arab Emirates (X%) displayed positive paces of growth. Moreover, Oman emerged as the fastest-growing exporter exported in the Middle East, with a CAGR of X% from 2012-2022. From 2012 to 2022, the share of Turkey, Oman and Syrian Arab Republic increased by X, X and X percentage points, respectively. The shares of the other countries remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, Turkey ($X) emerged as the largest grain supplier in the Middle East, comprising X% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United Arab Emirates ($X), with a X% share of total exports. It was followed by Oman, with a X% share.

In Turkey, grain exports expanded at an average annual rate of X% over the period from 2012-2022. The remaining exporting countries recorded the following average annual rates of exports growth: the United Arab Emirates (X% per year) and Oman (X% per year).

Export Prices by Country

The export price in the Middle East stood at $X per ton in 2022, rising by X% against the previous year. Export price indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, grain export price increased by X% against 2018 indices. The level of export peaked at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices remained at a lower figure.

Prices varied noticeably by country of origin: amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while Iran ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Grain Imports

Imports in the Middle East

In 2022, imports of grain in the Middle East dropped to X tons, waning by X% on the year before. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of X% from 2012 to 2022; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of X%. The volume of import peaked at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.

In value terms, grain imports amounted to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated modest growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of X% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by X% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 with an increase of X% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum in 2022 and are likely to see steady growth in years to come.

Imports by Country

The countries with the highest levels of grain imports in 2022 were Turkey (X tons), Saudi Arabia (X tons) and Iran (X tons), together amounting to X% of total import. It was distantly followed by Yemen (X tons), Israel (X tons), the United Arab Emirates (X tons) and Jordan (X tons), together generating a X% share of total imports.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the main importing countries, was attained by Turkey (with a CAGR of X%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

In value terms, Turkey ($X), Saudi Arabia ($X) and Iran ($X) constituted the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2022, with a combined X% share of total imports.

Turkey, with a CAGR of X%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Import Prices by Country

In 2022, the import price in the Middle East amounted to $X per ton, rising by X% against the previous year. Overall, the import price, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2021 when the import price increased by X% against the previous year. The level of import peaked at $X per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2022, import prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2022, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was the United Arab Emirates ($X per ton), while Iran ($X per ton) was amongst the lowest.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United Arab Emirates (X%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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