Northern America: Rye Market 2025

Rye Market Size in Northern America

The North American rye market expanded rapidly to $X in 2022, growing by 6.4% against the previous year. The total consumption indicated prominent growth from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.2% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, consumption decreased by -2.4% against 2020 indices. The level of consumption peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, consumption stood at a somewhat lower figure.

Rye Production in Northern America

In value terms, rye production rose to $X in 2022 estimated in export price. The total production indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, production decreased by -4.2% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2015 with an increase of 43% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $X in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2022, production failed to regain momentum.

The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2022 were Canada (X tons) and the United States (X tons).

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the main producing countries, was attained by the United States (with a CAGR of +5.0%).

The average rye yield was estimated at X tons per ha in 2022, standing approx. at the previous year. The yield figure increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2016 when the yield increased by 23%. The level of yield peaked at X tons per ha in 2020; afterwards, it flattened through to 2022. Despite the increased use of modern agricultural techniques and methods, future yield figures may still be impacted by adverse weather conditions.

In 2022, the harvested area of rye in Northern America expanded to X ha, with an increase of 3.9% on the previous year. The harvested area increased at an average annual rate of +2.3% from 2012 to 2022; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2020 with an increase of 26% against the previous year. As a result, the harvested area reached the peak level of X ha. From 2021 to 2022, the growth of the rye harvested area remained at a lower figure.

Rye Exports

Exports in Northern America

In 2022, exports of rye in Northern America surged to X tons, rising by 15% compared with the previous year's figure. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 with an increase of 64% against the previous year. As a result, the exports attained the peak of X tons. From 2019 to 2022, the growth of the exports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, rye exports skyrocketed to $X in 2022. Total exports indicated a modest increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, exports increased by +13.3% against 2018 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2018 when exports increased by 88%. The level of export peaked in 2022 and is likely to see gradual growth in years to come.

Exports by Country

Canada prevails in exports structure, accounting for X tons, which was approx. 98% of total exports in 2022. The United States (X tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.

Canada experienced a relatively flat trend pattern with regard to volume of exports of rye. The United States (-7.4%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. Canada (+2.2 p.p.) significantly strengthened its position in terms of the total exports, while the United States saw its share reduced by -2.2% from 2012 to 2022, respectively.

In value terms, Canada ($X) remains the largest rye supplier in Northern America, comprising 93% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was held by the United States ($X), with a 6.8% share of total exports.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual growth rate of value in Canada totaled +1.5%.

Export Prices by Country

The export price in Northern America stood at $X per ton in 2022, growing by 22% against the previous year. Export price indicated slight growth from 2012 to 2022: its price increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, rye export price increased by +75.8% against 2017 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2019 an increase of 22% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the peak figure at $X per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2022, the export prices failed to regain momentum.

There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exporting countries. In 2022, amid the top suppliers, the country with the highest price was the United States ($X per ton), while Canada stood at $X per ton.

From 2012 to 2022, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the United States (+4.4%).

Rye Imports

Imports in Northern America

In 2022, after two years of decline, there was significant growth in purchases abroad of rye, when their volume increased by 9% to X tons. Total imports indicated a notable expansion from 2012 to 2022: its volume increased at an average annual rate of +4.4% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 32% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports attained the maximum at X tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2022, imports remained at a lower figure.

In value terms, rye imports soared to $X in 2022. Total imports indicated a resilient increase from 2012 to 2022: its value increased at an average annual rate of +5.7% over the last decade. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2022 figures, imports increased by +39.7% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 49%. Over the period under review, imports hit record highs in 2022 and are expected to retain growth in the near future.

Imports by Country

In 2022, the United States (X tons) was the major importer of rye in Northern America, committing 99% of total import.

The United States was also the fastest-growing in terms of the rye imports, with a CAGR of +4.3% from 2012 to 2022. The shares of the largest importers remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.

In value terms, the United States ($X) constitutes the largest market for imported rye in Northern America.

From 2012 to 2022, the average annual rate of growth in terms of value in the United States totaled +5.7%.

Import Prices by Country

The import price in Northern America stood at $X per ton in 2022, increasing by 23% against the previous year. Over the period from 2012 to 2022, it increased at an average annual rate of +1.3%. As a result, import price reached the peak level and is likely to continue growth in the immediate term.

As there is only one major supplying country, the average price level is determined by prices for the United States.

From 2012 to 2022, the rate of growth in terms of prices for the United States amounted to +1.4% per year.

Source: IndexBox Platform

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